Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 17/07, 21:15
Prediction: Vidir Gardur vs KH Hlidarendi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.76Total
Vidir Gardur2.23
KH Hlidarendi1.53
1X2
Vidir Gardur
Draw
KH Hlidarendi
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vidir Gardur
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
KH Hlidarendi
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vidir Gardur
2–1–1
KH Hlidarendi
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vidir Gardur 1564 · KH Hlidarendi 1566
| Vidir Gardur | Draw | KH Hlidarendi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 20% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.76 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vidir Gardur: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidir Gardur | KH Hlidarendi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 2.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.3 | 3.3 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidir Gardur 2–1–1 KH Hlidarendi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Iceland League Cup B | KH Hlidarendi | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Vidir Gardur |
| 12/08/22 Iceland 3 Deild | Vidir Gardur | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KH Hlidarendi |
| 03/06/22 Iceland 3 Deild | KH Hlidarendi | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Vidir Gardur |
| 25/03/22 Iceland League Cup B | KH Hlidarendi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vidir Gardur |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vidir Gardur | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Tindastoll | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 24 |
| 4 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | KV Vesturbaer | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 35 | 21 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 7 | Hottur/Huginn | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 15 |
| 9 | Ymir Kopavogur | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 12 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vidir Gardur | KH Hlidarendi |
|---|---|---|
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Tindastoll | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| KV Vesturbaer | 3-5 L | 5-1 W |
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hottur/Huginn | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Arbaer | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| KA Asvellir | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| KF Fjallabyggd | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sindri | 0-1 L | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 6 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidir Gardur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 4-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
KH Hlidarendi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
3-2 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland Lower League Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 04/07 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 19 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/06 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vidir Gardur vs KH Hlidarendi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vidir Gardur win (53%). Probabilities: Vidir Gardur 53%, draw 21%, KH Hlidarendi 26%.
How many goals are expected in Vidir Gardur vs KH Hlidarendi?
The model expects 3.76 goals (Vidir Gardur 2.23 · KH Hlidarendi 1.53), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Vidir Gardur vs KH Hlidarendi?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.