Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 18/07, 18:00

Prediction: KF Fjallabyggd vs Sindri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

KF Fjallabyggd2.18

Sindri1.67

1X2

49% 21% 29%

KF Fjallabyggd Draw Sindri

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KF Fjallabyggd 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWDWD

Sindri 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLLLL

Head-to-head

KF Fjallabyggd 1–2–3 Sindri (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Fjallabyggd 1515 · Sindri 1435

	KF Fjallabyggd	Draw	Sindri
Our model	49%	22%	29%
Market	50%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Fjallabyggd (rating 1515 vs 1435).
H2H favours Sindri: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Fjallabyggd	Sindri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.7	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.33

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:03 +8’	1.80	4.33	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Fjallabyggd 1–2–3 Sindri

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	1-1 HT 0-1	KF Fjallabyggd
24/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	3-4 HT 0-2	Sindri
14/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	1-1 HT 0-0	KF Fjallabyggd
15/07/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Sindri	3-1	KF Fjallabyggd
13/05/23 Iceland 2 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	2-3	Sindri
10/08/19 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	1-2	KF Fjallabyggd

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	12	8	2	2	28	14	26
2	Tindastoll	12	8	1	3	27	17	25
3	KH Hlidarendi	12	7	3	2	36	18	24
4	Reynir Sandgerdi	12	7	2	3	34	25	23
5	KV Vesturbaer	12	7	0	5	34	35	21
6	KF Fjallabyggd	12	4	5	3	16	15	17
7	Hottur/Huginn	12	3	6	3	15	14	15
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	12	4	3	5	24	25	15
9	Ymir Kopavogur	12	3	3	6	20	25	12
10	KA Asvellir	12	3	1	8	19	33	10
11	Sindri	12	2	2	8	18	34	8
12	FC Arbaer	12	1	2	9	16	32	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Fjallabyggd	Sindri
Hottur/Huginn	0-0 D	2-2 D
KH Hlidarendi	1-0 W	3-5 L
FC Arbaer	2-2 D	4-1 W
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-1 W	0-1 L
KA Asvellir	2-1 W	1-3 L
Tindastoll	3-1 W	2-4 L
Ymir Kopavogur	0-0 D	0-4 L
KV Vesturbaer	3-5 L	2-3 L
Vidir Gardur	1-2 L	1-0 W
Reynir Sandgerdi	0-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: KF Fjallabyggd (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Fjallabyggd

LLLDWWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	1	D
20/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
06/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/05	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	3-5	7	6	L
24/05	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
16/05	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-2	5	4	L

Sindri

WLLWDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	2-3	3-5	–	–	L
04/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	3	2	L
20/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	2-3	3	2	L
14/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
10/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	4-1	10	1	W
30/05	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-4	4	6	L
16/05	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Fjallabyggd vs Sindri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Fjallabyggd win (49%). Probabilities: KF Fjallabyggd 49%, draw 21%, Sindri 29%.

How many goals are expected in KF Fjallabyggd vs Sindri?

The model expects 3.85 goals (KF Fjallabyggd 2.18 · Sindri 1.67), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Fjallabyggd vs Sindri?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.