Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 17/07, 21:15

Prediction: Tindastoll vs KA Asvellir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.07Total
Tindastoll3.01
KA Asvellir1.06
1X2
76% 14% 10%
Tindastoll Draw KA Asvellir
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tindastoll 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWLWLW
KA Asvellir 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWDLL
Head-to-head
Tindastoll 3–1 KA Asvellir (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tindastoll 1547 · KA Asvellir 1435
TindastollDrawKA Asvellir
Our model76%15%10%
Market76%14%10%
Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tindastoll (rating 1547 vs 1435).
  • H2H favours Tindastoll: 3-0-1.
  • High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TindastollKA Asvellir
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.51.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.93.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tindastoll 301 KA Asvellir

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Iceland 3 Deild
KA Asvellir1-3
HT 0-1
Tindastoll
07/09/23
Iceland 4 Deild
KA Asvellir4-2
HT 3-1
Tindastoll
23/07/22
Iceland 4 Deild
Tindastoll5-2
HT 3-0
KA Asvellir
04/06/22
Iceland 3 Deild
KA Asvellir0-5
HT 0-3
Tindastoll

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vidir Gardur 12822 281426
2 Tindastoll 12813 271725
3 KH Hlidarendi 12732 361824
4 Reynir Sandgerdi 12723 342523
5 KV Vesturbaer 12705 343521
6 KF Fjallabyggd 12453 161517
7 Hottur/Huginn 12363 151415
8 Augnablik Kopavogur 12435 242515
9 Ymir Kopavogur 12336 202512
10 KA Asvellir 12318 193310
11 Sindri 12228 18348
12 FC Arbaer 12129 16325

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTindastollKA Asvellir
Ymir Kopavogur 2-1 W 0-2 L
Vidir Gardur 0-3 L 1-4 L
Sindri 4-2 W 3-1 W
KH Hlidarendi 1-2 L 1-4 L
Augnablik Kopavogur 2-1 W 4-2 W
KF Fjallabyggd 1-3 L 1-2 L
KV Vesturbaer 4-1 W 1-3 L
Reynir Sandgerdi 2-1 W 2-7 L
Hottur/Huginn 0-0 D 1-1 D
FC Arbaer 3-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tindastoll (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tindastoll

WDWWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 2-1 76 W
04/07 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 0-3 37 L
25/06 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 4-2 92 W
19/06 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 1-2 76 L
14/06 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 2-1 62 W
10/06 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
1-2 1-3 52 L
06/06 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 4-1 73 W
31/05 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 2-1 W
23/05 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
16/05 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-1 3-1 114 W

KA Asvellir

WLWLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-3 33 L
03/07 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-4 2-7 L
27/06 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 1-1 D
19/06 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 2-1 44 W
14/06 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 1-2 L
11/06 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 0-2 46 L
06/06 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 1-4 85 L
30/05 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 3-1 W
22/05 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-3 1-4 L
15/05 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 4-2 156 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tindastoll vs KA Asvellir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tindastoll win (76%). Probabilities: Tindastoll 76%, draw 14%, KA Asvellir 10%.

How many goals are expected in Tindastoll vs KA Asvellir?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Tindastoll 3.01 · KA Asvellir 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tindastoll vs KA Asvellir?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.