Prediction: FC Arbaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi
| FC Arbaer | Draw | Reynir Sandgerdi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 18% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynir Sandgerdi (rating 1423 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Reynir Sandgerdi: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Arbaer | Reynir Sandgerdi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 2.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arbaer 1–1–4 Reynir Sandgerdi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild | Reynir Sandgerdi | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC Arbaer |
| 20/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild | FC Arbaer | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Reynir Sandgerdi |
| 03/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Reynir Sandgerdi | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FC Arbaer |
| 16/09/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Reynir Sandgerdi | 2-3 | FC Arbaer |
| 05/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild | FC Arbaer | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Reynir Sandgerdi |
| 08/04/22 Iceland Cup | Reynir Sandgerdi | 6-1 HT 2-0 | FC Arbaer |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vidir Gardur | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Tindastoll | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | KV Vesturbaer | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 35 | 21 |
| 5 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 24 | 20 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Hottur/Huginn | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 14 |
| 9 | Ymir Kopavogur | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Arbaer | Reynir Sandgerdi |
|---|---|---|
| KF Fjallabyggd | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| KA Asvellir | 1-2 L | 7-2 W |
| Vidir Gardur | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Sindri | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| KH Hlidarendi | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 3-3 D | 6-3 W |
| Tindastoll | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| KV Vesturbaer | 4-3 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Reynir Sandgerdi (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Arbaer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 01/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Reynir Sandgerdi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland Lower League Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 18 | 9 | D |
| 03/07 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
4-0 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 05/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 6-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Arbaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Reynir Sandgerdi win (60%). Probabilities: FC Arbaer 22%, draw 18%, Reynir Sandgerdi 60%.
How many goals are expected in FC Arbaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi?
The model expects 4.42 goals (FC Arbaer 1.68 · Reynir Sandgerdi 2.73), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Arbaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.