Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 12/07, 18:00
Prediction: Ymir Kopavogur vs Tindastoll
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Ymir Kopavogur1.66
Tindastoll2.31
1X2
Ymir Kopavogur
Draw
Tindastoll
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Ymir Kopavogur
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Tindastoll
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ymir Kopavogur
1–1–2
Tindastoll
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ymir Kopavogur 1504 · Tindastoll 1535
| Ymir Kopavogur | Draw | Tindastoll | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 21% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tindastoll: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ymir Kopavogur | Tindastoll | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 3.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ymir Kopavogur 1–1–2 Tindastoll
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild | Tindastoll | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Ymir Kopavogur |
| 19/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Ymir Kopavogur | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tindastoll |
| 03/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Tindastoll | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ymir Kopavogur |
| 08/06/24 Iceland 4 Deild | Ymir Kopavogur | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tindastoll |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vidir Gardur | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Tindastoll | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | KV Vesturbaer | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 35 | 21 |
| 5 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 24 | 20 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Hottur/Huginn | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 14 |
| 9 | Ymir Kopavogur | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ymir Kopavogur | Tindastoll |
|---|---|---|
| KV Vesturbaer | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Hottur/Huginn | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| KA Asvellir | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| KF Fjallabyggd | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Vidir Gardur | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sindri | 4-0 W | 4-2 W |
| KH Hlidarendi | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ymir Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland Lower League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Tindastoll
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ymir Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tindastoll win (52%). Probabilities: Ymir Kopavogur 27%, draw 21%, Tindastoll 52%.
How many goals are expected in Ymir Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?
The model expects 3.96 goals (Ymir Kopavogur 1.66 · Tindastoll 2.31), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ymir Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.