Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 13/07, 21:15
Prediction: Vidir Gardur vs Augnablik Kopavogur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
Vidir Gardur2.72
Augnablik Kopavogur1.39
1X2
Vidir Gardur
Draw
Augnablik Kopavogur
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vidir Gardur
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Augnablik Kopavogur
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vidir Gardur
2–4–0
Augnablik Kopavogur
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vidir Gardur 1568 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1483
| Vidir Gardur | Draw | Augnablik Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| Market | 65% | 18% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vidir Gardur (rating 1568 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Vidir Gardur: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidir Gardur | Augnablik Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidir Gardur 2–4–0 Augnablik Kopavogur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild | Augnablik Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vidir Gardur |
| 28/02/25 Iceland League Cup B | Augnablik Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vidir Gardur |
| 14/09/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Augnablik Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vidir Gardur |
| 08/07/24 Iceland 3 Deild | Vidir Gardur | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Augnablik Kopavogur |
| 08/03/24 Iceland League Cup B | Augnablik Kopavogur | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Vidir Gardur |
| 20/08/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Vidir Gardur | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Augnablik Kopavogur |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vidir Gardur | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Tindastoll | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | KV Vesturbaer | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 35 | 21 |
| 5 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 24 | 20 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Hottur/Huginn | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 14 |
| 9 | Ymir Kopavogur | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vidir Gardur | Augnablik Kopavogur |
|---|---|---|
| Tindastoll | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| KV Vesturbaer | 3-5 L | 5-3 W |
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 5-0 W | 3-6 L |
| Hottur/Huginn | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Arbaer | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| KA Asvellir | 4-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Ymir Kopavogur | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| KF Fjallabyggd | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Sindri | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vidir Gardur (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidir Gardur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/06 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 4-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Augnablik Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 05/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vidir Gardur vs Augnablik Kopavogur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vidir Gardur win (65%). Probabilities: Vidir Gardur 65%, draw 18%, Augnablik Kopavogur 17%.
How many goals are expected in Vidir Gardur vs Augnablik Kopavogur?
The model expects 4.1 goals (Vidir Gardur 2.72 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Vidir Gardur vs Augnablik Kopavogur?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.