Prediction: KA Asvellir vs KV Vesturbaer
Expected goals: 4.51 (KA Asvellir 2.25 · KV Vesturbaer 2.25). The model gives 40% home, 20% draw, 40% away. Over 4.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
On recent form, KA Asvellir is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and KV Vesturbaer 5-0-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, KA Asvellir won 0 and KV Vesturbaer 1.
| KA Asvellir | Draw | KV Vesturbaer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 21% | 40% |
| Market | 40% | 20% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KV Vesturbaer (rating 1447 vs 1509).
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KA Asvellir | KV Vesturbaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 2.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/0/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 8 | 3.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Asvellir 0–0–1 KV Vesturbaer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild | KV Vesturbaer | 3-2 HT 2-2 | KA Asvellir |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vidir Gardur | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Tindastoll | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 24 | 20 |
| 5 | KV Vesturbaer | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 34 | 18 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Hottur/Huginn | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 14 |
| 9 | Ymir Kopavogur | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KA Asvellir | KV Vesturbaer |
|---|---|---|
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 2-7 L | 2-3 L |
| Hottur/Huginn | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Arbaer | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| KF Fjallabyggd | 1-2 L | 5-3 W |
| Ymir Kopavogur | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Vidir Gardur | 1-4 L | 5-3 W |
| Sindri | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| KH Hlidarendi | 1-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 4-2 W | 3-5 L |
| Tindastoll | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 5 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KA Asvellir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-4 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 4-2 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
KV Vesturbaer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
3-1 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 06/06 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 5-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KA Asvellir vs KV Vesturbaer?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Asvellir win (40%). Probabilities: KA Asvellir 40%, draw 20%, KV Vesturbaer 40%.
How many goals are expected in KA Asvellir vs KV Vesturbaer?
The model expects 4.51 goals (KA Asvellir 2.25 · KV Vesturbaer 2.25), with a 53% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KA Asvellir vs KV Vesturbaer?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.