Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: KFG Gardabaer vs Vikingur Olafsvik

Team pages: KFG Gardabaer · Vikingur Olafsvik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

KFG Gardabaer1.78

Vikingur Olafsvik1.84

1X2

37% 24% 40%

KFG Gardabaer Draw Vikingur Olafsvik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

KFG Gardabaer 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLWWL

Vikingur Olafsvik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWLWLL

Head-to-head

KFG Gardabaer 0–2–4 Vikingur Olafsvik (6 last)

Vikingur Olafsvik1-0KFG Gardabaer
KFG Gardabaer0-2Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik4-1KFG Gardabaer
Vikingur Olafsvik4-0KFG Gardabaer
KFG Gardabaer4-4Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik2-2KFG Gardabaer

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Olafsvik (rating 1441 vs 1506).
H2H favours Vikingur Olafsvik: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KFG Gardabaer	Vikingur Olafsvik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.6	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	3.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.89

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.62 → 2.62	Pinn 2.62
X	4.55 → 4.55	Pinn 4.55
2	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59	2.62	4.55	1.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KFG Gardabaer 0–2–4 Vikingur Olafsvik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	1-0 HT 0-0	KFG Gardabaer
12/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	0-2 HT 0-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
10/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	4-1 HT 2-1	KFG Gardabaer
01/09/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	4-0 HT 2-0	KFG Gardabaer
29/06/24 Iceland 2 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	4-4 HT 1-0	Vikingur Olafsvik
12/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	2-2	KFG Gardabaer

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	20	15	2	3	54	26	47
2	UMF Selfoss	20	11	6	3	51	34	39
3	Kari	20	9	9	2	50	29	36
4	Fjardabyggd	20	9	2	9	49	38	29
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	20	8	4	8	28	37	28
6	Fjolnir	20	7	5	8	46	44	26
7	Dalvik/Reynir	20	7	4	9	30	34	25
8	Magni Grenivik	20	7	4	9	34	50	25
9	Kormakur/Hvot	20	6	6	8	37	33	24
10	Throttur Vogar	20	6	1	13	30	40	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	20	6	1	13	33	55	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	20	3	8	9	24	46	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KFG Gardabaer	Vikingur Olafsvik
Dalvik/Reynir	0-2 L	1-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot	4-0 W	0-0 D
Hviti Riddarinn	5-0 W	2-0 W
Fjardabyggd	3-4 L	0-3 L
Fjolnir	1-4 L	2-2 D
Haukar	1-2 L	1-4 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	1-3 L
Kari	1-5 L	1-4 L
Throttur Vogar	1-5 L	2-1 W
UMF Selfoss	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFG Gardabaer

LLLDLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
22/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	5-0	8	4	W
15/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	3-4	8	4	L
08/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
17/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-5	9	3	L
12/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-5	2	4	L
03/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	4	4	L

Vikingur Olafsvik

LDWWDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	11	2	L
23/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
19/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	1	L
10/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
04/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-3	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFG Gardabaer vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Olafsvik win (40%). Probabilities: KFG Gardabaer 37%, draw 24%, Vikingur Olafsvik 40%.

How many goals are expected in KFG Gardabaer vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

The model expects 3.62 goals (KFG Gardabaer 1.78 · Vikingur Olafsvik 1.84), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in KFG Gardabaer vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.