Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Kari vs Haukar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Kari1.69
Haukar1.88
1X2
Kari
Draw
Haukar
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Kari
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Haukar
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kari
3–3
Haukar
(6 last)
- Haukar4-1Kari
- Kari2-1Haukar
- Haukar4-1Kari
- Haukar1-4Kari
- Kari1-3Haukar
- Haukar2-3Kari
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kari 1578 · Haukar 1584
| Kari | Draw | Haukar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 22% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kari | Haukar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 2.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 4.8 / 8.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 3–0–3 Haukar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Kari |
| 13/09/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Haukar |
| 04/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Kari |
| 14/03/25 Iceland League Cup B | Haukar | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Kari |
| 12/09/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Haukar |
| 05/07/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Kari |
Standings · Iceland 2 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 55 | 28 | 47 |
| 2 | UMF Selfoss | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 35 | 42 |
| 3 | Kari | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 52 | 29 | 39 |
| 4 | Fjardabyggd | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 29 |
| 5 | Dalvik/Reynir | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 36 | 28 |
| 6 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 28 |
| 7 | Kormakur/Hvot | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 27 |
| 8 | Fjolnir | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 27 |
| 9 | Magni Grenivik | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 52 | 25 |
| 10 | KFG Gardabaer | 21 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 56 | 22 |
| 11 | Throttur Vogar | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 41 | 20 |
| 12 | Hviti Riddarinn | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 50 | 17 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kari | Haukar |
|---|---|---|
| Magni Grenivik | 2-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Throttur Vogar | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Fjolnir | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| UMF Selfoss | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Vikingur Olafsvik | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Dalvik/Reynir | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Kormakur/Hvot | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Hviti Riddarinn | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| KFG Gardabaer | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Fjardabyggd | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 4 D 0 L | 8 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | D |
Haukar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/07 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kari vs Haukar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Haukar win (43%). Probabilities: Kari 35%, draw 23%, Haukar 43%.
How many goals are expected in Kari vs Haukar?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Kari 1.69 · Haukar 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kari vs Haukar?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.