Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjardabyggd

Team pages: Vikingur Olafsvik · Fjardabyggd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Vikingur Olafsvik1.86

Fjardabyggd1.62

1X2

43% 23% 34%

Vikingur Olafsvik Draw Fjardabyggd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Vikingur Olafsvik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWLLL

Fjardabyggd 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Vikingur Olafsvik 2–3–1 Fjardabyggd (6 last)

Fjardabyggd3-0Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik3-2Fjardabyggd
Fjardabyggd1-1Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik2-0Fjardabyggd
Fjardabyggd2-2Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik0-0Fjardabyggd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vikingur Olafsvik 1484 · Fjardabyggd 1518

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Draw	Fjardabyggd
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	44%	22%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vikingur Olafsvik: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Fjardabyggd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.7	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.06
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:13 +34’	2.05	4.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +139’	1.94	4.06	2.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Olafsvik 2–3–1 Fjardabyggd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	3-0 HT 0-0	Vikingur Olafsvik
26/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	3-2 HT 2-1	Fjardabyggd
17/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	1-1 HT 1-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
21/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	2-0 HT 1-0	Fjardabyggd
11/05/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	2-2 HT 2-0	Vikingur Olafsvik
20/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	0-0	Fjardabyggd

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	21	15	2	4	55	28	47
2	UMF Selfoss	21	12	6	3	53	35	42
3	Kari	21	10	9	2	52	29	39
4	Fjardabyggd	21	9	2	10	51	41	29
5	Dalvik/Reynir	21	8	4	9	33	36	28
6	Vikingur Olafsvik	21	8	4	9	29	41	28
7	Kormakur/Hvot	21	7	6	8	41	36	27
8	Fjolnir	21	7	6	8	47	45	27
9	Magni Grenivik	21	7	4	10	34	52	25
10	KFG Gardabaer	21	7	1	13	37	56	22
11	Throttur Vogar	21	6	2	13	31	41	20
12	Hviti Riddarinn	21	3	8	10	27	50	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Olafsvik	Fjardabyggd
KFG Gardabaer	1-4 L	4-3 W
Haukar	1-4 L	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	1-3 L	0-3 L
Throttur Vogar	2-1 W	4-2 W
Kari	1-4 L	2-2 D
UMF Selfoss	2-0 W	0-1 L
Fjolnir	2-2 D	2-1 W
Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 W	2-3 L
Hviti Riddarinn	2-0 W	6-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fjardabyggd (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vikingur Olafsvik

DWWDWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	11	2	L
23/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
19/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	1	L
10/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D

Fjardabyggd

DLWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-3	4	5	L
29/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-2	6	2	W
23/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	6-0	6	1	W
19/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	10	6	W
15/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-3	2	4	W
08/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
29/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-3	7	5	L
25/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	4-2	5	6	W
18/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
12/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	3	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjardabyggd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Olafsvik win (43%). Probabilities: Vikingur Olafsvik 43%, draw 23%, Fjardabyggd 34%.

How many goals are expected in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjardabyggd?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Vikingur Olafsvik 1.86 · Fjardabyggd 1.62), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjardabyggd?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.