Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dalvik/Reynir vs Hviti Riddarinn

Team pages: Dalvik/Reynir · Hviti Riddarinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Dalvik/Reynir2.74

Hviti Riddarinn1.23

1X2

69% 17% 14%

Dalvik/Reynir Draw Hviti Riddarinn

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalvik/Reynir 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDLWW

Hviti Riddarinn 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLDL

Head-to-head

Dalvik/Reynir 0–1–0 Hviti Riddarinn (1 last)

Hviti Riddarinn3-3Dalvik/Reynir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalvik/Reynir 1450 · Hviti Riddarinn 1406

	Dalvik/Reynir	Draw	Hviti Riddarinn
Our model	69%	17%	14%
Market	69%	17%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalvik/Reynir (rating 1450 vs 1406).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalvik/Reynir	Hviti Riddarinn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	1.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.25

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.38 ★
X	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.38
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:35 +7’	1.30	5.25	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +136’	1.38	5.38	5.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalvik/Reynir 0–1–0 Hviti Riddarinn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	3-3 HT 1-2	Dalvik/Reynir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	21	15	2	4	55	28	47
2	UMF Selfoss	21	12	6	3	53	35	42
3	Kari	21	10	9	2	52	29	39
4	Fjardabyggd	21	9	2	10	51	41	29
5	Dalvik/Reynir	21	8	4	9	33	36	28
6	Vikingur Olafsvik	21	8	4	9	29	41	28
7	Kormakur/Hvot	21	7	6	8	41	36	27
8	Fjolnir	21	7	6	8	47	45	27
9	Magni Grenivik	21	7	4	10	34	52	25
10	KFG Gardabaer	21	7	1	13	37	56	22
11	Throttur Vogar	21	6	2	13	31	41	20
12	Hviti Riddarinn	21	3	8	10	27	50	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalvik/Reynir	Hviti Riddarinn
Fjardabyggd	3-2 W	0-6 L
KFG Gardabaer	2-0 W	0-5 L
Haukar	2-5 L	1-3 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	1-0 W
Throttur Vogar	0-2 L	1-3 L
Kari	1-1 D	1-3 L
UMF Selfoss	1-2 L	2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-1 L	0-2 L
Kormakur/Hvot	1-3 L	3-4 L
Fjolnir	1-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Hviti Riddarinn (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalvik/Reynir

LLLLDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-2	9	5	W
29/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
23/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-5	2	4	L
19/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
15/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-2	0	6	L
08/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
29/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	10	2	L
25/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	7	4	L

Hviti Riddarinn

DLLLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-3	3-4	–	–	L
27/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-3	2	3	D
23/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
19/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	0-5	7	4	L
14/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-3	8	6	L
08/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
29/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
24/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
17/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalvik/Reynir vs Hviti Riddarinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalvik/Reynir win (69%). Probabilities: Dalvik/Reynir 69%, draw 17%, Hviti Riddarinn 14%.

How many goals are expected in Dalvik/Reynir vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Dalvik/Reynir 2.74 · Hviti Riddarinn 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalvik/Reynir vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.