Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar

Team pages: Kormakur/Hvot · Throttur Vogar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Kormakur/Hvot2.19

Throttur Vogar1.54

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Kormakur/Hvot Draw Throttur Vogar

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kormakur/Hvot 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDDWLD

Throttur Vogar 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Kormakur/Hvot 1–1–3 Throttur Vogar (5 last)

Throttur Vogar1-1Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot0-2Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar2-1Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot0-5Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar0-1Kormakur/Hvot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kormakur/Hvot 1502 · Throttur Vogar 1466

	Kormakur/Hvot	Draw	Throttur Vogar
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Throttur Vogar: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kormakur/Hvot	Throttur Vogar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.3	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.73▲	Pinn 1.77
X	4.20 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.11 ★
2	4.20 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:28 +36’	1.57	4.20	4.20
15:01 +5’	1.61▲	4.10▼	3.90▼
08:39 +13’	1.73▲	4.00▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:51 +1’	1.77	4.11	3.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kormakur/Hvot 1–1–3 Throttur Vogar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	1-1 HT 1-1	Kormakur/Hvot
30/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	0-2 HT 0-1	Throttur Vogar
21/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	2-1 HT 1-0	Kormakur/Hvot
25/08/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	0-5 HT 0-2	Throttur Vogar
23/06/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	0-1 HT 0-0	Kormakur/Hvot

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	15	10	2	3	38	20	32
2	UMF Selfoss	15	8	5	2	34	27	29
3	Kari	15	6	7	2	40	25	25
4	Fjolnir	15	6	4	5	36	31	22
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	15	6	4	5	21	25	22
6	Kormakur/Hvot	15	5	6	4	32	21	21
7	Dalvik/Reynir	15	6	2	7	24	25	20
8	Magni Grenivik	15	5	3	7	27	41	18
9	Fjardabyggd	15	5	2	8	33	30	17
10	Throttur Vogar	15	5	1	9	26	31	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	15	2	7	6	19	29	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	15	4	1	10	20	45	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kormakur/Hvot	Throttur Vogar
Kari	1-1 D	1-4 L
UMF Selfoss	2-5 L	1-3 L
Dalvik/Reynir	3-1 W	0-1 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-0 D	1-2 L
Fjolnir	1-1 D	3-2 W
Hviti Riddarinn	4-0 W	3-1 W
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	2-4 L
KFG Gardabaer	2-3 L	5-1 W
Haukar	2-2 D	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	7-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Kormakur/Hvot (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kormakur/Hvot

WDLDWDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
18/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
12/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-3	14	2	L
10/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
05/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	4-1	7-1	4	2	W

Throttur Vogar

LLLLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
25/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-4	4	6	L
17/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	7	4	W
04/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
26/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	8	6	W
19/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
15/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
10/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
06/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kormakur/Hvot win (52%). Probabilities: Kormakur/Hvot 52%, draw 22%, Throttur Vogar 26%.

How many goals are expected in Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Kormakur/Hvot 2.19 · Throttur Vogar 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.