Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Magni Grenivik vs Kormakur/Hvot

Team pages: Magni Grenivik · Kormakur/Hvot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Magni Grenivik1.72

Kormakur/Hvot2.1

1X2

31% 23% 46%

Magni Grenivik Draw Kormakur/Hvot

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Magni Grenivik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLWDWL

Kormakur/Hvot 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDWLDW

Head-to-head

Magni Grenivik 0–2–3 Kormakur/Hvot (5 last)

Kormakur/Hvot7-1Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik1-3Kormakur/Hvot
Magni Grenivik2-2Kormakur/Hvot
Magni Grenivik2-2Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot2-1Magni Grenivik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magni Grenivik 1482 · Kormakur/Hvot 1523

	Magni Grenivik	Draw	Kormakur/Hvot
Our model	31%	22%	46%
Market	31%	23%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kormakur/Hvot (rating 1482 vs 1523).
H2H favours Kormakur/Hvot: 3-2-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magni Grenivik	Kormakur/Hvot
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.3	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.90

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.09
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +8’	2.88	3.90	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +1’	2.52	4.09	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magni Grenivik 0–2–3 Kormakur/Hvot

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	7-1 HT 4-1	Magni Grenivik
25/06/25 Iceland Lower League Cup	Magni Grenivik	1-3 HT 1-0	Kormakur/Hvot
30/03/25 Iceland Cup	Magni Grenivik	2-2 HT 1-0	Kormakur/Hvot
09/09/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Magni Grenivik	2-2	Kormakur/Hvot
30/06/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	2-1	Magni Grenivik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	16	8	5	3	34	29	29
3	Kari	16	6	8	2	41	26	26
4	Fjolnir	16	7	4	5	40	32	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	16	7	4	5	23	25	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	16	6	6	4	34	21	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	16	6	3	7	25	26	21
8	Magni Grenivik	16	5	3	8	27	42	18
9	Fjardabyggd	16	5	2	9	34	32	17
10	Throttur Vogar	16	5	1	10	26	33	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	16	4	1	11	21	49	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Magni Grenivik	Kormakur/Hvot
Hviti Riddarinn	0-1 L	4-0 W
Fjardabyggd	3-0 W	2-2 D
KFG Gardabaer	1-1 D	2-3 L
Fjolnir	5-2 W	1-1 D
Haukar	2-5 L	2-2 D
Throttur Vogar	4-3 W	2-0 W
Kari	1-1 D	1-1 D
UMF Selfoss	4-1 W	2-5 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	1-3 L	0-0 D
Dalvik/Reynir	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kormakur/Hvot (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magni Grenivik

LLWDWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
29/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	5	W
25/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
18/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
12/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-5	4	7	L
04/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	4-3	3	7	W
27/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
14/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
10/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	10	7	L

Kormakur/Hvot

DLDWDDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
18/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
12/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-3	14	2	L
10/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-2	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magni Grenivik vs Kormakur/Hvot?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kormakur/Hvot win (46%). Probabilities: Magni Grenivik 31%, draw 23%, Kormakur/Hvot 46%.

How many goals are expected in Magni Grenivik vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Magni Grenivik 1.72 · Kormakur/Hvot 2.1), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Magni Grenivik vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.