Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kari vs Vikingur Olafsvik

Team pages: Kari · Vikingur Olafsvik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Kari1.59

Vikingur Olafsvik1.64

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Kari Draw Vikingur Olafsvik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kari 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDLDWWDD

Vikingur Olafsvik 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Kari 2–1–1 Vikingur Olafsvik (4 last)

Vikingur Olafsvik3-3Kari
Vikingur Olafsvik2-4Kari
Kari1-4Vikingur Olafsvik
Kari2-1Vikingur Olafsvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kari 1544 · Vikingur Olafsvik 1542

	Kari	Draw	Vikingur Olafsvik
Our model	36%	25%	38%
Market	38%	23%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kari: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kari	Vikingur Olafsvik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.90

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.47 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:49 +6’	2.38	3.90	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +1’	2.44	4.00	2.24
01:32 +2’	2.47▲	4.00	2.22▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 2–1–1 Vikingur Olafsvik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	3-3 HT 2-1	Kari
06/09/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	2-4 HT 1-1	Kari
29/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	1-4 HT 0-2	Vikingur Olafsvik
23/04/22 Iceland Cup	Kari	2-1 HT 0-0	Vikingur Olafsvik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	16	8	5	3	34	29	29
3	Kari	16	6	8	2	41	26	26
4	Fjolnir	16	7	4	5	40	32	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	16	7	4	5	23	25	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	16	6	6	4	34	21	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	16	6	3	7	25	26	21
8	Magni Grenivik	16	5	3	8	27	42	18
9	Fjardabyggd	16	5	2	9	34	32	17
10	Throttur Vogar	16	5	1	10	26	33	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	16	4	1	11	21	49	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kari	Vikingur Olafsvik
Dalvik/Reynir	1-1 D	1-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 W	2-0 W
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	1-0 W
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	0-3 L
Haukar	1-4 L	0-1 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	3-1 W
Throttur Vogar	4-1 W	2-1 W
Fjolnir	2-2 D	2-2 D
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 6 D 1 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vikingur Olafsvik (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kari

DDWDLDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
29/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	4	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
15/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	9	4	D
10/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	6	6	D

Vikingur Olafsvik

WWLWLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
04/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
27/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
20/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
14/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
10/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kari vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Olafsvik win (39%). Probabilities: Kari 37%, draw 24%, Vikingur Olafsvik 39%.

How many goals are expected in Kari vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Kari 1.59 · Vikingur Olafsvik 1.64), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kari vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.