Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Throttur Vogar vs Dalvik/Reynir

Team pages: Throttur Vogar · Dalvik/Reynir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

Throttur Vogar1.76

Dalvik/Reynir1.79

1X2

38% 24% 39%

Throttur Vogar Draw Dalvik/Reynir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Throttur Vogar 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLWL

Dalvik/Reynir 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Throttur Vogar 2–1–3 Dalvik/Reynir (6 last)

Dalvik/Reynir1-0Throttur Vogar
Dalvik/Reynir3-0Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar1-0Dalvik/Reynir
Dalvik/Reynir3-1Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar2-2Dalvik/Reynir
Throttur Vogar3-0Dalvik/Reynir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Throttur Vogar 1447 · Dalvik/Reynir 1485

	Throttur Vogar	Draw	Dalvik/Reynir
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	38%	24%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dalvik/Reynir: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Throttur Vogar	Dalvik/Reynir
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.5	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.80

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.38 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +3’	2.38	3.80	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:22 +7’	2.38	3.74	2.35
02:23	2.36▼	3.76▲	2.37▲
08:03 +2’	2.37▲	3.80▲	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Vogar 2–1–3 Dalvik/Reynir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 HT 0-0	Throttur Vogar
12/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	3-0 HT 2-0	Throttur Vogar
10/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	1-0 HT 1-0	Dalvik/Reynir
20/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	3-1	Throttur Vogar
11/06/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	2-2 HT 1-1	Dalvik/Reynir
23/08/20 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	3-0 HT 1-0	Dalvik/Reynir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	16	8	5	3	34	29	29
3	Kari	16	6	8	2	41	26	26
4	Fjolnir	16	7	4	5	40	32	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	16	7	4	5	23	25	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	16	6	6	4	34	21	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	16	6	3	7	25	26	21
8	Magni Grenivik	16	5	3	8	27	42	18
9	Fjardabyggd	16	5	2	9	34	32	17
10	Throttur Vogar	16	5	1	10	26	33	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	16	4	1	11	21	49	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Throttur Vogar	Dalvik/Reynir
Kormakur/Hvot	0-2 L	1-3 L
Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 W	3-3 D
Fjardabyggd	2-4 L	1-0 W
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	6-0 W
Fjolnir	3-2 W	1-4 L
Kari	1-4 L	1-1 D
UMF Selfoss	1-3 L	1-2 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dalvik/Reynir (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Throttur Vogar

LLLWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
29/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
25/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-4	4	6	L
17/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	7	4	W
04/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
26/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	8	6	W
19/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
15/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
10/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-2	5	4	L

Dalvik/Reynir

WWDWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/08	Alftanes Iceland Lower League Cup	1-2	1-5	4	8	L
29/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	10	2	L
25/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
07/07	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland Lower League Cup	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
03/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
20/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	5-0	6-0	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Throttur Vogar vs Dalvik/Reynir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalvik/Reynir win (39%). Probabilities: Throttur Vogar 38%, draw 24%, Dalvik/Reynir 39%.

How many goals are expected in Throttur Vogar vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model expects 3.56 goals (Throttur Vogar 1.76 · Dalvik/Reynir 1.79), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Throttur Vogar vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.