Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: Haukar vs Hviti Riddarinn

Team pages: Haukar · Hviti Riddarinn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

Haukar2.7

Hviti Riddarinn1.19

1X2

69% 17% 14%

Haukar Draw Hviti Riddarinn

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Haukar 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWWW

Hviti Riddarinn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Haukar 2–0 Hviti Riddarinn (2 last)

Hviti Riddarinn0-2Haukar
Haukar4-0Hviti Riddarinn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haukar 1581 · Hviti Riddarinn 1421

	Haukar	Draw	Hviti Riddarinn
Our model	69%	18%	14%
Market	69%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1581 vs 1421).
H2H favours Haukar: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haukar	Hviti Riddarinn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.1 / 9.6	1.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +2’	1.30	5.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar 2–0–0 Hviti Riddarinn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	0-2 HT 0-2	Haukar
14/02/26 Iceland League Cup B	Haukar	4-0 HT 2-0	Hviti Riddarinn

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	16	11	2	3	40	21	35
2	UMF Selfoss	16	8	5	3	34	29	29
3	Kari	16	6	8	2	41	26	26
4	Fjolnir	16	7	4	5	40	32	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	16	7	4	5	23	25	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	16	6	6	4	34	21	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	16	6	3	7	25	26	21
8	Magni Grenivik	16	5	3	8	27	42	18
9	Fjardabyggd	16	5	2	9	34	32	17
10	Throttur Vogar	16	5	1	10	26	33	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	16	3	7	6	20	29	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	16	4	1	11	21	49	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haukar	Hviti Riddarinn
Fjardabyggd	2-1 W	4-3 W
KFG Gardabaer	2-1 W	0-1 L
Throttur Vogar	2-1 W	1-3 L
Magni Grenivik	5-2 W	1-0 W
Kari	4-1 W	1-3 L
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	1-0 W	0-2 L
Dalvik/Reynir	0-3 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Haukar (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Haukar

LWDWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-1	8	8	W
04/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland Lower League Cup	1-1	3-2	15	1	W
29/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
24/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
17/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-1	13	2	W
12/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	5-2	4	7	W
01/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	10	4	W
26/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
20/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	8	9	W
14/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-3	10	6	L

Hviti Riddarinn

LWLDLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
29/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
24/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
17/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
08/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland Lower League Cup	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
03/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
14/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	3-2	4-3	3	10	W
10/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haukar vs Hviti Riddarinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haukar win (69%). Probabilities: Haukar 69%, draw 17%, Hviti Riddarinn 14%.

How many goals are expected in Haukar vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Haukar 2.7 · Hviti Riddarinn 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Haukar vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.