Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: Kormakur/Hvot vs Haukar

Team pages: Kormakur/Hvot · Haukar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Kormakur/Hvot1.66

Haukar1.84

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Kormakur/Hvot Draw Haukar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kormakur/Hvot 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWLDWL

Haukar 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Kormakur/Hvot 0–3–2 Haukar (5 last)

Haukar2-2Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot2-2Haukar
Haukar2-1Kormakur/Hvot
Haukar5-1Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot1-1Haukar

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1497 vs 1578).
H2H favours Haukar: 2-3-0.
High corners: 15.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kormakur/Hvot	Haukar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.3	5.8 / 10.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.83

Under 3.51.92

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.14 → 4.08▼	Pinn 4.08
X	4.36 → 4.32▼	Pinn 4.32
2	1.57 → 1.59▲	Pinn 1.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +3’	4.14	4.36	1.57
12:24 +3’	4.08▼	4.32▼	1.59▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kormakur/Hvot 0–3–2 Haukar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	2-2 HT 0-2	Kormakur/Hvot
17/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	2-2 HT 1-0	Haukar
09/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	2-1 HT 1-0	Kormakur/Hvot
31/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	5-1 HT 2-0	Kormakur/Hvot
25/05/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	1-1 HT 1-0	Haukar

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	17	9	5	3	40	31	32
3	Kari	17	7	8	2	45	27	29
4	Fjolnir	17	7	4	6	42	38	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	17	7	4	6	24	29	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	17	6	6	5	34	24	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	17	6	3	8	25	28	21
8	Magni Grenivik	17	6	3	8	30	42	21
9	Fjardabyggd	17	6	2	9	38	35	20
10	Throttur Vogar	17	6	1	10	28	33	19
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	17	4	1	12	24	53	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kormakur/Hvot	Haukar
Magni Grenivik	0-3 L	5-2 W
Throttur Vogar	2-0 W	2-1 W
Kari	1-1 D	4-1 W
UMF Selfoss	2-5 L	2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-0 D	1-0 W
Fjolnir	1-1 D	1-2 L
Hviti Riddarinn	4-0 W	3-1 W
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	2-1 W
KFG Gardabaer	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haukar (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kormakur/Hvot

LDWDDWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
09/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
18/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
12/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-3	14	2	L

Haukar

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	3-1	15	6	W
08/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-1	8	8	W
04/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland Lower League Cup	1-1	3-2	15	1	W
29/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
24/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
17/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-1	13	2	W
12/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	5-2	4	7	W
01/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	10	4	W
26/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
20/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	8	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kormakur/Hvot vs Haukar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haukar win (42%). Probabilities: Kormakur/Hvot 34%, draw 24%, Haukar 42%.

How many goals are expected in Kormakur/Hvot vs Haukar?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Kormakur/Hvot 1.66 · Haukar 1.84), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kormakur/Hvot vs Haukar?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.