Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 29/08, 18:00

Prediction: Dalvik/Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer

Team pages: Dalvik/Reynir · KFG Gardabaer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Dalvik/Reynir2.31

KFG Gardabaer1.69

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Dalvik/Reynir Draw KFG Gardabaer

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Dalvik/Reynir 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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KFG Gardabaer 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dalvik/Reynir 5–1–0 KFG Gardabaer (6 last)

KFG Gardabaer0-6Dalvik/Reynir
KFG Gardabaer1-1Dalvik/Reynir
Dalvik/Reynir2-1KFG Gardabaer
KFG Gardabaer1-2Dalvik/Reynir
Dalvik/Reynir1-0KFG Gardabaer
KFG Gardabaer2-3Dalvik/Reynir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalvik/Reynir 1446 · KFG Gardabaer 1442

	Dalvik/Reynir	Draw	KFG Gardabaer
Our model	51%	21%	28%
Market	51%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dalvik/Reynir: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalvik/Reynir	KFG Gardabaer
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	1.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.10

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.35
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.71 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +4’	1.75	4.10	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:30 +4’	1.65	4.35	3.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalvik/Reynir 5–1–0 KFG Gardabaer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	0-6 HT 0-5	Dalvik/Reynir
23/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	1-1 HT 0-0	Dalvik/Reynir
14/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	2-1 HT 2-0	KFG Gardabaer
15/07/23 Iceland 2 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	1-2 HT 0-2	Dalvik/Reynir
13/05/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	1-0	KFG Gardabaer
10/09/22 Iceland 3 Deild	KFG Gardabaer	2-3 HT 1-2	Dalvik/Reynir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	19	14	2	3	50	25	44
2	UMF Selfoss	19	10	6	3	45	34	36
3	Kari	19	8	9	2	48	29	33
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	19	8	4	7	27	33	28
5	Fjardabyggd	19	8	2	9	46	36	26
6	Fjolnir	20	7	5	8	46	44	26
7	Magni Grenivik	19	7	4	8	34	44	25
8	Kormakur/Hvot	19	6	6	7	35	30	24
9	Dalvik/Reynir	19	6	4	9	28	34	22
10	Throttur Vogar	19	6	1	12	30	38	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	19	6	1	12	33	53	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	20	3	8	9	24	46	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalvik/Reynir	KFG Gardabaer
Haukar	2-5 L	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	1-1 D
Throttur Vogar	0-2 L	1-5 L
Kari	1-1 D	1-5 L
UMF Selfoss	1-2 L	2-3 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-1 L	0-1 L
Kormakur/Hvot	1-3 L	4-0 W
Fjolnir	1-4 L	1-4 L
Hviti Riddarinn	3-3 D	5-0 W
Fjardabyggd	1-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalvik/Reynir

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-5	2	4	L
19/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
15/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-2	0	6	L
08/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
29/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	10	2	L
25/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
03/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	3	9	W

KFG Gardabaer

LLLLDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
19/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	5-0	8	4	W
15/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	3-4	8	4	L
08/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
25/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
17/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-5	9	3	L
12/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-5	2	4	L
03/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
27/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalvik/Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalvik/Reynir win (51%). Probabilities: Dalvik/Reynir 51%, draw 22%, KFG Gardabaer 27%.

How many goals are expected in Dalvik/Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Dalvik/Reynir 2.31 · KFG Gardabaer 1.69), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalvik/Reynir vs KFG Gardabaer?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.