Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 28/08, 21:15

Prediction: Kari vs Throttur Vogar

Team pages: Kari · Throttur Vogar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Kari2.38

Throttur Vogar1.61

1X2

54% 21% 25%

Kari Draw Throttur Vogar

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kari 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLDWWDDWDW

Throttur Vogar 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Kari 2–4 Throttur Vogar (6 last)

Throttur Vogar1-4Kari
Throttur Vogar0-1Kari
Kari1-2Throttur Vogar
Kari1-2Throttur Vogar
Kari0-5Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar4-1Kari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kari 1557 · Throttur Vogar 1461

	Kari	Draw	Throttur Vogar
Our model	54%	21%	25%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kari (rating 1557 vs 1461).
H2H favours Throttur Vogar: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kari	Throttur Vogar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.5	2.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	3.80 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:07 +6’	1.60	4.33	3.80
00:55 +5’	1.67▲	4.20▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 2–0–4 Throttur Vogar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	1-4 HT 0-1	Kari
20/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	0-1 HT 0-0	Kari
03/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	1-2 HT 0-2	Throttur Vogar
18/04/24 Iceland League Cup B	Kari	1-2 HT 0-0	Throttur Vogar
03/09/21 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	0-5 HT 0-2	Throttur Vogar
30/06/21 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	4-1 HT 2-1	Kari

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	19	14	2	3	50	25	44
2	UMF Selfoss	19	10	6	3	45	34	36
3	Kari	19	8	9	2	48	29	33
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	19	8	4	7	27	33	28
5	Fjardabyggd	19	8	2	9	46	36	26
6	Fjolnir	19	7	4	8	43	41	25
7	Magni Grenivik	19	7	4	8	34	44	25
8	Kormakur/Hvot	19	6	6	7	35	30	24
9	Dalvik/Reynir	19	6	4	9	28	34	22
10	Throttur Vogar	19	6	1	12	30	38	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	19	6	1	12	33	53	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	19	3	7	9	21	43	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kari	Throttur Vogar
Fjolnir	1-0 W	3-2 W
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	1-3 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	4-1 W	1-2 L
Dalvik/Reynir	1-1 D	2-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot	1-1 D	0-2 L
Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 W	3-1 W
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	5-1 W
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	2-4 L
Haukar	1-4 L	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kari

DLDWWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
15/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
08/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
29/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D

Throttur Vogar

WLWLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
19/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
15/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
09/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
29/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
25/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-4	4	6	L
17/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	7	4	W
04/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
26/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kari vs Throttur Vogar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kari win (54%). Probabilities: Kari 54%, draw 21%, Throttur Vogar 25%.

How many goals are expected in Kari vs Throttur Vogar?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Kari 2.38 · Throttur Vogar 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kari vs Throttur Vogar?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.