Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar

Team pages: Vikingur Olafsvik · Haukar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Vikingur Olafsvik1.33

Haukar1.72

1X2

29% 24% 46%

Vikingur Olafsvik Draw Haukar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vikingur Olafsvik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWLWL

Haukar 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Vikingur Olafsvik 3–1–2 Haukar (6 last)

Haukar1-0Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik1-3Haukar
Haukar1-1Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik3-2Haukar
Haukar0-3Vikingur Olafsvik
Haukar0-3Vikingur Olafsvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vikingur Olafsvik 1518 · Haukar 1600

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Draw	Haukar
Our model	29%	26%	46%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1518 vs 1600).
H2H favours Vikingur Olafsvik: 3-1-2.
High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Haukar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	5.3 / 9.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.90

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.51 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.14
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:39 +3’	3.00	3.90	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:59 +1’	3.51	4.14	1.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Olafsvik 3–1–2 Haukar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	1-0 HT 1-0	Vikingur Olafsvik
13/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	1-3 HT 1-1	Haukar
04/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	1-1 HT 0-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
21/08/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	3-2 HT 1-1	Haukar
13/06/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	0-3 HT 0-2	Vikingur Olafsvik
16/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	0-3 HT 0-0	Vikingur Olafsvik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	19	14	2	3	50	25	44
2	UMF Selfoss	19	10	6	3	45	34	36
3	Kari	19	8	9	2	48	29	33
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	19	8	4	7	27	33	28
5	Fjardabyggd	19	8	2	9	46	36	26
6	Fjolnir	20	7	5	8	46	44	26
7	Magni Grenivik	19	7	4	8	34	44	25
8	Kormakur/Hvot	19	6	6	7	35	30	24
9	Dalvik/Reynir	19	6	4	9	28	34	22
10	Throttur Vogar	19	6	1	12	30	38	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	19	6	1	12	33	53	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	20	3	8	9	24	46	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Olafsvik	Haukar
Magni Grenivik	1-3 L	5-2 W
Throttur Vogar	2-1 W	2-1 W
Kari	1-4 L	4-1 W
UMF Selfoss	2-0 W	2-2 D
Fjolnir	2-2 D	1-2 L
Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 W	5-2 W
Hviti Riddarinn	2-0 W	3-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-0 D	2-1 W
Fjardabyggd	0-3 L	2-1 W
KFG Gardabaer	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	8 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haukar (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vikingur Olafsvik

WLDWWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	4	7	L
19/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	1	L
10/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
04/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
27/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	9	5	W

Haukar

DWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	5-2	10	4	W
19/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	7	5	W
14/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	3-1	15	6	W
08/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-1	8	8	W
29/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
24/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
17/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-1	13	2	W
12/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	5-2	4	7	W
01/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	10	5	W
26/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haukar win (46%). Probabilities: Vikingur Olafsvik 29%, draw 24%, Haukar 46%.

How many goals are expected in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Vikingur Olafsvik 1.33 · Haukar 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.