Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 27/08, 22:00

Prediction: Hviti Riddarinn vs Fjolnir

Team pages: Hviti Riddarinn · Fjolnir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Hviti Riddarinn1.53

Fjolnir2.25

1X2

25% 21% 54%

Hviti Riddarinn Draw Fjolnir

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hviti Riddarinn 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWLLL

Fjolnir 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWLLL

Head-to-head

Hviti Riddarinn 0–1–0 Fjolnir (1 last)

Fjolnir1-1Hviti Riddarinn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hviti Riddarinn 1402 · Fjolnir 1478

	Hviti Riddarinn	Draw	Fjolnir
Our model	25%	22%	53%
Market	26%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fjolnir (rating 1402 vs 1478).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hviti Riddarinn	Fjolnir
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.1	2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.33

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Pinn 5.26 ★
2	1.53 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.72

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:05 +4’	4.20	4.50	1.53
15:15 +5’	3.50▼	4.33▼	1.67▲
01:47 +5’	3.20▼	4.20▼	1.80▲
03:27 +20’	3.50▲	4.33▲	1.70▼
06:10 +7’	3.40▼	4.20▼	1.73▲
14:11 +8’	3.50▲	4.33▲	1.70▼
21:37 +2’	3.50	4.33	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +2’	2.96	4.97	1.70
16:12	3.07▲	5.14▲	1.71▲
16:59	3.07	5.13▼	1.71
21:36 +3’	3.11▲	5.26▲	1.72▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hviti Riddarinn 0–1–0 Fjolnir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjolnir	1-1 HT 1-0	Hviti Riddarinn

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	19	14	2	3	50	25	44
2	UMF Selfoss	19	10	6	3	45	34	36
3	Kari	19	8	9	2	48	29	33
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	19	8	4	7	27	33	28
5	Fjardabyggd	19	8	2	9	46	36	26
6	Fjolnir	19	7	4	8	43	41	25
7	Magni Grenivik	19	7	4	8	34	44	25
8	Kormakur/Hvot	19	6	6	7	35	30	24
9	Dalvik/Reynir	19	6	4	9	28	34	22
10	Throttur Vogar	19	6	1	12	30	38	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	19	6	1	12	33	53	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	19	3	7	9	21	43	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hviti Riddarinn	Fjolnir
Fjardabyggd	0-6 L	1-2 L
KFG Gardabaer	0-5 L	4-1 W
Haukar	1-3 L	2-1 W
Magni Grenivik	1-0 W	2-5 L
Throttur Vogar	1-3 L	2-3 L
Kari	1-3 L	0-1 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-2 L	2-2 D
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-6 L
Dalvik/Reynir	3-3 D	4-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Fjolnir (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hviti Riddarinn

LDDLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	0-6	6	1	L
19/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	0-5	7	4	L
14/08	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-3	8	6	L
08/08	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	2	10	W
29/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
24/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
17/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
03/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	4	L

Fjolnir

LDWLWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
19/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
15/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-3	2-6	5	5	L
08/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
29/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
24/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
18/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
12/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
04/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
26/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hviti Riddarinn vs Fjolnir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fjolnir win (54%). Probabilities: Hviti Riddarinn 25%, draw 21%, Fjolnir 54%.

How many goals are expected in Hviti Riddarinn vs Fjolnir?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Hviti Riddarinn 1.53 · Fjolnir 2.25), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hviti Riddarinn vs Fjolnir?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.