Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Magni Grenivik vs Kari

Team pages: Magni Grenivik · Kari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Magni Grenivik1.55

Kari2.05

1X2

29% 22% 49%

Magni Grenivik Draw Kari

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Magni Grenivik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWDWL

Kari 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWDDWDWW

Head-to-head

Magni Grenivik 0–3–3 Kari (6 last)

Kari1-1Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik0-4Kari
Kari1-0Magni Grenivik
Kari1-1Magni Grenivik
Kari2-0Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik3-3Kari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magni Grenivik 1517 · Kari 1554

	Magni Grenivik	Draw	Kari
Our model	28%	23%	49%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kari: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magni Grenivik	Kari
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.8	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.6	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.10

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.52 ★
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:31 +6’	3.10	4.10	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:20 +2’	2.72	4.52	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Magni Grenivik 0–3–3 Kari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	1-1 HT 0-0	Magni Grenivik
30/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Magni Grenivik	0-4 HT 0-1	Kari
17/07/24 Iceland Lower League Cup	Kari	1-0 HT 0-0	Magni Grenivik
29/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Kari	1-1 HT 0-0	Magni Grenivik
15/09/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Kari	2-0	Magni Grenivik
08/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Magni Grenivik	3-3	Kari

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	20	15	2	3	54	26	47
2	UMF Selfoss	20	11	6	3	51	34	39
3	Kari	20	9	9	2	50	29	36
4	Fjardabyggd	20	9	2	9	49	38	29
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	20	8	4	8	28	37	28
6	Fjolnir	20	7	5	8	46	44	26
7	Dalvik/Reynir	20	7	4	9	30	34	25
8	Magni Grenivik	20	7	4	9	34	50	25
9	Kormakur/Hvot	20	6	6	8	37	33	24
10	Throttur Vogar	20	6	1	13	30	40	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	20	6	1	13	33	55	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	20	3	8	9	24	46	17

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Magni Grenivik	Kari
UMF Selfoss	0-6 L	2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	3-1 W	4-1 W
Dalvik/Reynir	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kormakur/Hvot	3-0 W	1-1 D
Hviti Riddarinn	0-1 L	3-1 W
Fjardabyggd	3-0 W	2-2 D
KFG Gardabaer	1-1 D	5-1 W
Fjolnir	5-2 W	1-0 W
Haukar	2-5 L	1-4 L
Throttur Vogar	4-3 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magni Grenivik

WLWDWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	0-6	4	4	L
23/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-1	0	7	W
19/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
15/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
08/08	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
29/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	5	W
25/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
18/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
12/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-5	4	7	L
04/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	4-3	3	7	W

Kari

LDWWDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
23/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
19/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
15/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
08/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
29/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magni Grenivik vs Kari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kari win (49%). Probabilities: Magni Grenivik 29%, draw 22%, Kari 49%.

How many goals are expected in Magni Grenivik vs Kari?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Magni Grenivik 1.55 · Kari 2.05), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Magni Grenivik vs Kari?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.