Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 08/08, 18:30

Prediction: Hviti Riddarinn vs Magni Grenivik

Team pages: Hviti Riddarinn · Magni Grenivik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Hviti Riddarinn2.07

Magni Grenivik1.85

1X2

43% 22% 34%

Hviti Riddarinn Draw Magni Grenivik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hviti Riddarinn 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLDLLL

Magni Grenivik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWLWDW

Head-to-head

Hviti Riddarinn 1–2–3 Magni Grenivik (6 last)

Magni Grenivik1-1Hviti Riddarinn
Magni Grenivik3-3Hviti Riddarinn
Hviti Riddarinn2-4Magni Grenivik
Hviti Riddarinn1-2Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik2-1Hviti Riddarinn
Hviti Riddarinn3-1Magni Grenivik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hviti Riddarinn 1416 · Magni Grenivik 1495

	Hviti Riddarinn	Draw	Magni Grenivik
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magni Grenivik (rating 1416 vs 1495).
H2H favours Magni Grenivik: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hviti Riddarinn	Magni Grenivik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	2.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +4’	2.10	4.00	2.60
08:47 +7’	2.10	4.00	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:42	2.00	3.87	2.89
03:47	1.99▼	3.88▲	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hviti Riddarinn 1–2–3 Magni Grenivik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Magni Grenivik	1-1 HT 1-1	Hviti Riddarinn
06/09/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Magni Grenivik	3-3 HT 2-1	Hviti Riddarinn
29/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	2-4 HT 2-2	Magni Grenivik
21/07/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	1-2 HT 1-1	Magni Grenivik
04/05/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Magni Grenivik	2-1 HT 0-1	Hviti Riddarinn
02/09/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 HT 3-0	Magni Grenivik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	15	10	2	3	38	20	32
2	UMF Selfoss	15	8	5	2	34	27	29
3	Kari	15	6	7	2	40	25	25
4	Fjolnir	15	6	4	5	36	31	22
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	15	6	4	5	21	25	22
6	Kormakur/Hvot	15	5	6	4	32	21	21
7	Dalvik/Reynir	15	6	2	7	24	25	20
8	Magni Grenivik	15	5	3	7	27	41	18
9	Fjardabyggd	15	5	2	8	33	30	17
10	Throttur Vogar	15	5	1	9	26	31	16
11	Hviti Riddarinn	15	2	7	6	19	29	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	15	4	1	10	20	45	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hviti Riddarinn	Magni Grenivik
Throttur Vogar	1-3 L	4-3 W
Kari	1-3 L	1-1 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-2 L	1-3 L
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	4-1 W
Dalvik/Reynir	3-3 D	0-2 L
Kormakur/Hvot	0-4 L	1-7 L
Fjardabyggd	4-3 W	3-0 W
KFG Gardabaer	0-1 L	1-1 D
Haukar	0-2 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Magni Grenivik (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hviti Riddarinn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
24/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
17/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
08/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland Lower League Cup	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
03/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
14/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	3-2	4-3	3	10	W
10/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-2	3	5	L

Magni Grenivik

LLLWDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-0	4	5	W
25/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
18/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
12/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-5	4	7	L
04/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	4-3	3	7	W
27/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
14/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
10/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	10	7	L
05/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-4	1-7	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hviti Riddarinn vs Magni Grenivik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hviti Riddarinn win (43%). Probabilities: Hviti Riddarinn 43%, draw 22%, Magni Grenivik 34%.

How many goals are expected in Hviti Riddarinn vs Magni Grenivik?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Hviti Riddarinn 2.07 · Magni Grenivik 1.85), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hviti Riddarinn vs Magni Grenivik?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.