Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: Vikingur Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar

Team pages: Vikingur Olafsvik · Throttur Vogar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Vikingur Olafsvik2.08

Throttur Vogar1.24

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Vikingur Olafsvik Draw Throttur Vogar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vikingur Olafsvik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWDWL

Throttur Vogar 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Vikingur Olafsvik 3–3 Throttur Vogar (6 last)

Throttur Vogar1-2Vikingur Olafsvik
Throttur Vogar2-1Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik2-0Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar3-2Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik2-0Throttur Vogar
Throttur Vogar4-0Vikingur Olafsvik

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Olafsvik (rating 1539 vs 1467).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Throttur Vogar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.81▲	Pinn 1.81
X	4.25 → 4.19▼	Pinn 4.19
2	3.25 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +3’	1.77	4.25	3.25
12:24 +3’	1.81▲	4.19▼	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Olafsvik 3–0–3 Throttur Vogar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	1-2 HT 0-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
16/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	2-1 HT 0-0	Vikingur Olafsvik
09/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	2-0 HT 2-0	Throttur Vogar
26/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	3-2 HT 1-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
18/05/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	2-0 HT 1-0	Throttur Vogar
09/09/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	4-0	Vikingur Olafsvik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	17	9	5	3	40	31	32
3	Kari	17	7	8	2	45	27	29
4	Fjolnir	17	7	4	6	42	38	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	17	7	4	6	24	29	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	17	6	6	5	34	24	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	17	6	3	8	25	28	21
8	Magni Grenivik	17	6	3	8	30	42	21
9	Fjardabyggd	17	6	2	9	38	35	20
10	Throttur Vogar	17	6	1	10	28	33	19
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	17	4	1	12	24	53	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Olafsvik	Throttur Vogar
Kari	1-4 L	1-4 L
UMF Selfoss	2-0 W	1-3 L
Fjolnir	2-2 D	3-2 W
Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 W	2-0 W
Hviti Riddarinn	2-0 W	3-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-0 D	0-2 L
Fjardabyggd	0-3 L	2-4 L
KFG Gardabaer	1-0 W	5-1 W
Haukar	0-1 L	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	3-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Vogar (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vikingur Olafsvik

WLWLDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-3	1-4	6	1	L
10/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
29/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
04/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
27/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
20/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
14/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	6	4	W

Throttur Vogar

LLWLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
09/08	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
29/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
25/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-4	4	6	L
17/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	7	4	W
04/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
26/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	8	6	W
19/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
15/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Olafsvik win (56%). Probabilities: Vikingur Olafsvik 56%, draw 23%, Throttur Vogar 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Vikingur Olafsvik 2.08 · Throttur Vogar 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.