Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: UMF Selfoss vs Kari

Team pages: UMF Selfoss · Kari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

UMF Selfoss2.38

Kari1.75

1X2

51% 21% 28%

UMF Selfoss Draw Kari

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

UMF Selfoss 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWLW

Kari 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWDDW

Head-to-head

UMF Selfoss 5–1–0 Kari (6 last)

Kari2-2UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss3-1Kari
UMF Selfoss1-0Kari
Kari3-4UMF Selfoss
Kari0-2UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss4-0Kari

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UMF Selfoss: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMF Selfoss	Kari
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.7	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +2’	1.68	4.38	3.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UMF Selfoss 5–1–0 Kari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	2-2 HT 0-0	UMF Selfoss
12/04/24 Iceland Cup	UMF Selfoss	3-1 HT 0-1	Kari
23/08/20 Iceland 2 Deild	UMF Selfoss	1-0	Kari
17/06/20 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	3-4 HT 1-2	UMF Selfoss
21/09/19 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	0-2 HT 0-1	UMF Selfoss
11/07/19 Iceland 2 Deild	UMF Selfoss	4-0 HT 2-0	Kari

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	17	12	2	3	43	22	38
2	UMF Selfoss	17	9	5	3	40	31	32
3	Kari	17	7	8	2	45	27	29
4	Fjolnir	17	7	4	6	42	38	25
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	17	7	4	6	24	29	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	17	6	6	5	34	24	24
7	Dalvik/Reynir	17	6	3	8	25	28	21
8	Magni Grenivik	17	6	3	8	30	42	21
9	Fjardabyggd	17	6	2	9	38	35	20
10	Throttur Vogar	17	6	1	10	28	33	19
11	Hviti Riddarinn	17	3	7	7	21	32	16
12	KFG Gardabaer	17	4	1	12	24	53	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMF Selfoss	Kari
Fjolnir	6-2 W	2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-2 L	4-1 W
Dalvik/Reynir	2-1 W	1-1 D
Kormakur/Hvot	5-2 W	1-1 D
Fjardabyggd	1-0 W	2-2 D
Hviti Riddarinn	2-2 D	3-1 W
KFG Gardabaer	3-2 W	5-1 W
Haukar	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UMF Selfoss (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

UMF Selfoss

DWWDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	3-2	6-2	7	5	W
10/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
04/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland Lower League Cup	1-0	4-0	9	2	W
29/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
25/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
18/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
11/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
08/07	Arborg Iceland Lower League Cup	4-0	5-0	12	1	W
03/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
26/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	5	5	D

Kari

DWDLDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
08/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
29/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	4	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
15/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMF Selfoss vs Kari?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMF Selfoss win (51%). Probabilities: UMF Selfoss 51%, draw 21%, Kari 28%.

How many goals are expected in UMF Selfoss vs Kari?

The model expects 4.12 goals (UMF Selfoss 2.38 · Kari 1.75), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in UMF Selfoss vs Kari?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.