Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 23/08, 14:30

Prediction: Kari vs Fjolnir

Team pages: Kari · Fjolnir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.32Total

Kari2.55

Fjolnir1.77

1X2

54% 20% 26%

Kari Draw Fjolnir

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kari 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWDDWD

Fjolnir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Kari 0–1–0 Fjolnir (1 last)

Fjolnir2-2Kari

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kari (rating 1550 vs 1488).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kari	Fjolnir
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.94

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.02 → 2.09▲	Pinn 2.09
X	4.06 → 4.02▼	Pinn 4.02
2	2.75 → 2.65▼	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +2’	2.02	4.06	2.75
05:09	2.04▲	4.02▼	2.72▼
08:12 +1’	2.09▲	4.02	2.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 0–1–0 Fjolnir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/06/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjolnir	2-2 HT 0-0	Kari

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	18	13	2	3	45	23	41
2	UMF Selfoss	18	9	6	3	42	33	33
3	Kari	18	7	9	2	47	29	30
4	Vikingur Olafsvik	18	8	4	6	26	30	28
5	Fjolnir	18	7	4	7	43	40	25
6	Kormakur/Hvot	19	6	6	7	35	30	24
7	Fjardabyggd	18	7	2	9	40	36	23
8	Dalvik/Reynir	18	6	4	8	26	29	22
9	Magni Grenivik	18	6	4	8	31	43	22
10	Throttur Vogar	18	6	1	11	29	35	19
11	KFG Gardabaer	19	6	1	12	33	53	19
12	Hviti Riddarinn	18	3	7	8	21	37	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kari	Fjolnir
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-6 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	4-1 W	2-2 D
Dalvik/Reynir	1-1 D	4-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot	1-1 D	1-1 D
Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 W	1-1 D
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	4-1 W
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	1-2 L
Haukar	1-4 L	2-1 W
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	2-5 L
Throttur Vogar	4-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kari

WDLDWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
15/08	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
08/08	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
29/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	4	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	8	4	W

Fjolnir

DLDWLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
15/08	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-3	2-6	5	5	L
08/08	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
29/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
24/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
18/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
12/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
04/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
26/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	8	6	L
19/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kari vs Fjolnir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kari win (54%). Probabilities: Kari 54%, draw 20%, Fjolnir 26%.

How many goals are expected in Kari vs Fjolnir?

The model expects 4.32 goals (Kari 2.55 · Fjolnir 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Kari vs Fjolnir?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.