Football · Finland Kolmonen · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: VJS Vantaa II vs Tips Vantaa

Team pages: VJS Vantaa II · Tips Vantaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.57Total

VJS Vantaa II2.08

Tips Vantaa2.5

1X2

32% 20% 47%

VJS Vantaa II Draw Tips Vantaa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

VJS Vantaa II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLLWW

Tips Vantaa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLDW

Head-to-head

VJS Vantaa II 0–1 Tips Vantaa (1 last)

Tips Vantaa5-2VJS Vantaa II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VJS Vantaa II 1509 · Tips Vantaa 1497

	VJS Vantaa II	Draw	Tips Vantaa
Our model	32%	20%	47%
Market	32%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VJS Vantaa II	Tips Vantaa
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.5	2 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.5	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.33

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 2.80▲	Bet365 2.80
X	6.50 → 4.33▼	Pinn 4.63 ★
2	6.25 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:58 +1’	1.25	6.50	6.25
14:18 +22’	1.55▲	4.75▼	3.80▼
00:27 +2’	1.65▲	4.50▼	3.40▼
02:06 +3’	1.65	4.50	3.50▲
12:45 +1’	2.40▲	4.20▼	2.20▼
14:17 +1’	2.20▼	4.20	2.40▲
16:18 +1’	2.80▲	4.33▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:23	2.36	4.52	2.08
12:44 +2’	2.01▼	4.11▼	2.43▲
14:17 +1’	2.04▲	4.33▲	2.48▲
16:13 +6’	2.72▲	4.63▲	1.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VJS Vantaa II 0–0–1 Tips Vantaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	5-2 HT 2-2	VJS Vantaa II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	13	9	2	2	33	13	29
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	14	7	5	2	47	21	26
4	Valtti	13	7	1	5	26	25	22
5	LPS Helsinki	12	6	1	5	31	28	19
6	VJS Vantaa II	13	5	2	6	43	25	17
7	Atlantis FC/PM	14	5	2	7	32	53	17
8	Tips Vantaa	12	5	1	6	27	31	16
9	HPS II	14	4	3	7	35	38	15
10	Toolon Taisto	13	2	8	3	24	26	14
11	FC Kontu	14	3	5	6	25	34	14
12	PPS	14	2	0	12	14	53	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VJS Vantaa II	Tips Vantaa
Atlantis FC/PM	10-1 W	2-4 L
LPS Helsinki	3-0 W	4-7 L
Valtti	3-4 L	3-2 W
Töölön Taisto	1-3 L	1-1 D
FC Kontu	0-1 L	2-0 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-2 D	2-1 W
ToTe	1-1 D	0-2 L
PPS	11-0 W	3-1 W
HPS II	2-1 W	1-5 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: VJS Vantaa II (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VJS Vantaa II

LWWDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	4-0	10-1	7	2	W
24/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	4	9	W
05/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-4	14	4	L
24/06	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-3	6	9	L
12/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
07/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
30/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
20/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	4-0	11-0	6	1	W
14/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	6	1	W
10/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	7	7	L

Tips Vantaa

LWLLWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L
12/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
28/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
22/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	3	2	L
15/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	2	1	W
08/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VJS Vantaa II vs Tips Vantaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tips Vantaa win (47%). Probabilities: VJS Vantaa II 32%, draw 20%, Tips Vantaa 47%.

How many goals are expected in VJS Vantaa II vs Tips Vantaa?

The model expects 4.57 goals (VJS Vantaa II 2.08 · Tips Vantaa 2.5), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VJS Vantaa II vs Tips Vantaa?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.