Football · Finland Kolmonen · 18/08, 18:00

Prediction: Nykarleby IK vs SIF

Team pages: Nykarleby IK · SIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Nykarleby IK1.3

SIF1.82

1X2

27% 23% 49%

Nykarleby IK Draw SIF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nykarleby IK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDDLLL

SIF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWWLL

Head-to-head

Nykarleby IK 0–1–3 SIF (4 last)

SIF2-0Nykarleby IK
SIF1-0Nykarleby IK
SIF2-0Nykarleby IK
Nykarleby IK1-1SIF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nykarleby IK 1457 · SIF 1488

	Nykarleby IK	Draw	SIF
Our model	26%	25%	48%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SIF: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nykarleby IK	SIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.20

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
X	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +15’	3.10	4.33	1.80
17:43 +4’	3.20▲	4.20▼	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykarleby IK 0–1–3 SIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-0 HT 2-0	Nykarleby IK
14/05/22 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	1-0 HT 1-0	Nykarleby IK
09/06/21 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-0 HT 1-0	Nykarleby IK
30/07/20 Finland Kolmonen	Nykarleby IK	1-1 HT 1-1	SIF

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	14	10	2	2	39	12	32
2	FC Kiisto	16	9	3	4	40	22	30
3	Virkia	14	7	2	5	26	21	23
4	FC Ylivieska	14	7	2	5	33	31	23
5	VPV Pallo-Veikot	14	7	2	5	20	19	23
6	SJK-j	15	5	4	6	23	24	19
7	SIF	14	5	3	6	23	26	18
8	LBK	15	6	0	9	23	37	18
9	Sporting Kristina	13	4	3	6	16	18	15
10	Nykarleby IK	14	3	4	7	18	34	13
11	KPV Akatemia	15	3	1	11	30	47	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nykarleby IK	SIF
FC Ylivieska	1-2 L	1-2 L
Virkia	1-2 L	0-3 L
VIFK	1-3 L	1-3 L
FC Kiisto	0-0 D	1-5 L
Sporting Kristina	1-1 D	2-1 W
LBK	0-5 L	2-0 W
KPV Akatemia	2-1 W	3-2 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-1 D	1-1 D
SJK-j	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Nykarleby IK (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nykarleby IK

LWDWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
08/08	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
23/07	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
16/07	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
02/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
25/06	LBK Finland Kolmonen	0-4	0-5	0	3	L
18/06	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
11/06	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
04/06	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	10	5	W
28/05	SIF Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	0	3	L

SIF

WLLDDWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	0	8	L
30/07	FC Kiisto Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
10/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
01/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	1	W
25/06	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/06	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
11/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
04/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
28/05	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nykarleby IK vs SIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SIF win (49%). Probabilities: Nykarleby IK 27%, draw 23%, SIF 49%.

How many goals are expected in Nykarleby IK vs SIF?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Nykarleby IK 1.3 · SIF 1.82), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nykarleby IK vs SIF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.