Football · Finland Kolmonen · 18/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Haka Juniors vs TP-T

Team pages: FC Haka Juniors · TP-T

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.31Total

FC Haka Juniors2.08

TP-T2.23

1X2

37% 20% 42%

FC Haka Juniors Draw TP-T

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Haka Juniors 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLDLL

TP-T 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Haka Juniors 2–2–2 TP-T (6 last)

TP-T1-3FC Haka Juniors
FC Haka Juniors2-3TP-T
TP-T1-2FC Haka Juniors
TP-T2-2FC Haka Juniors
FC Haka Juniors1-1TP-T
TP-T6-2FC Haka Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka Juniors 1459 · TP-T 1514

	FC Haka Juniors	Draw	TP-T
Our model	37%	21%	42%
Market	37%	20%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 4.31 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP-T (rating 1459 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Haka Juniors	TP-T
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.8	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +5’	2.40	4.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka Juniors 2–2–2 TP-T

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Haka Juniors
26/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	2-3 HT 2-2	TP-T
24/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Haka Juniors
08/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Haka Juniors
23/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Haka Juniors	1-1 HT 0-1	TP-T
28/09/23 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	6-2 HT 4-0	FC Haka Juniors

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	15	14	1	0	57	12	43
2	TPV II	15	11	1	3	36	18	34
3	Tampere Utd II	15	10	3	2	29	14	33
4	NoPS	15	10	2	3	44	17	32
5	Ylojarvi United	15	7	2	6	29	26	23
6	FC LeKi	14	6	2	6	31	27	20
7	TP-T	14	5	2	7	33	30	17
8	FC Haka Juniors	15	5	1	9	28	39	16
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	15	4	2	9	18	36	14
10	Fish United	15	3	2	10	19	42	11
11	ACE	15	3	1	11	28	43	10
12	TP-49	15	1	1	13	16	64	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Haka Juniors	TP-T
FC Lasten	1-2 L	0-3 L
TPV II	0-5 L	0-3 L
Tampere Utd II	2-2 D	0-2 L
NoPS	0-7 L	2-2 D
FC LeKi	1-4 L	2-0 W
TP-49	3-1 W	11-2 W
Fish United	3-0 W	4-1 W
ACE	5-0 W	2-1 W
Ylojarvi United	2-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TP-T (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka Juniors

LWWLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
07/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	2	7	D
24/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	3	L
03/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
24/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
16/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
11/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	9	3	W
02/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	5-0	11	3	W
28/05	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-4	6	2	L

TP-T

LDWLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	5-0	11-2	10	0	W
06/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
30/07	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-1	7	4	W
22/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
17/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
03/07	ACE Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
27/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
11/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
05/06	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
28/05	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka Juniors vs TP-T?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TP-T win (42%). Probabilities: FC Haka Juniors 37%, draw 20%, TP-T 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka Juniors vs TP-T?

The model expects 4.31 goals (FC Haka Juniors 2.08 · TP-T 2.23), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka Juniors vs TP-T?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.