Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/09, 13:45

Prediction: Tips Vantaa vs Atlantis FC/PM

Team pages: Tips Vantaa · Atlantis FC/PM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.76Total

Tips Vantaa2.67

Atlantis FC/PM2.08

1X2

51% 18% 31%

Tips Vantaa Draw Atlantis FC/PM

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 65%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Tips Vantaa 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWWWD

Atlantis FC/PM 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Tips Vantaa 1–1 Atlantis FC/PM (2 last)

Atlantis FC/PM4-2Tips Vantaa
Tips Vantaa4-2Atlantis FC/PM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tips Vantaa 1561 · Atlantis FC/PM 1505

	Tips Vantaa	Draw	Atlantis FC/PM
Our model	51%	19%	30%
Market	52%	17%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 4.76 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tips Vantaa (rating 1561 vs 1505).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tips Vantaa	Atlantis FC/PM
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	2.9 / 4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1.4 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/38/13%	33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X5.25

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 51.95

Under 51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 5.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.73▲	Bet365 1.73
X	5.50 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25
2	4.33 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +2’	1.45	5.50	4.33
15:12 +5’	1.73▲	5.25▼	2.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tips Vantaa 1–0–1 Atlantis FC/PM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis FC/PM	4-2 HT 4-0	Tips Vantaa
02/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	4-2 HT 1-1	Atlantis FC/PM

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	20	13	2	5	46	33	41
2	ToTe	19	11	4	4	43	23	37
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	21	10	6	5	61	32	36
4	LPS Helsinki	19	11	2	6	53	36	35
5	Tips Vantaa	20	11	2	7	45	41	35
6	Valtti	19	9	2	8	40	38	29
7	VJS Vantaa II	20	8	3	9	60	37	27
8	Atlantis FC/PM	20	8	3	9	51	72	27
9	HPS II	20	6	5	9	47	51	23
10	Töölön Taisto	20	4	9	7	40	46	21
11	FC Kontu	21	4	6	11	34	52	18
12	PPS	21	2	2	17	24	83	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tips Vantaa	Atlantis FC/PM
PPJ/Lauttasaari	0-0 D	2-6 L
FC Kontu	2-1 W	3-2 W
HPS II	2-1 W	4-3 W
Töölön Taisto	5-3 W	6-3 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	3-1 W	1-7 L
PPS	3-0 W	6-1 W
ToTe	2-0 W	2-2 D
VJS Vantaa II	1-4 L	1-10 L
Valtti	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tips Vantaa (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tips Vantaa

DWLWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	11	5	W
04/09	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	4	7	W
29/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
21/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
09/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Atlantis FC/PM

LWLWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-7	4	2	L
10/09	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-5	12	4	L
04/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-1	3	2	W
27/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-3	7	2	W
20/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tips Vantaa vs Atlantis FC/PM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tips Vantaa win (51%). Probabilities: Tips Vantaa 51%, draw 18%, Atlantis FC/PM 31%.

How many goals are expected in Tips Vantaa vs Atlantis FC/PM?

The model expects 4.76 goals (Tips Vantaa 2.67 · Atlantis FC/PM 2.08), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tips Vantaa vs Atlantis FC/PM?

The model gives a 65% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.