Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Haka Juniors vs FC LeKi

Team pages: FC Haka Juniors · FC LeKi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.5Total

FC Haka Juniors2.33

FC LeKi2.16

1X2

43% 20% 37%

FC Haka Juniors Draw FC LeKi

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Haka Juniors 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWWWW

FC LeKi 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Haka Juniors 0–1 FC LeKi (1 last)

FC LeKi4-1FC Haka Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka Juniors 1484 · FC LeKi 1494

	FC Haka Juniors	Draw	FC LeKi
Our model	43%	21%	37%
Market	43%	20%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Haka Juniors	FC LeKi
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 3.5	2.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.4	1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 5.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +5’	2.05	4.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka Juniors 0–0–1 FC LeKi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC LeKi	4-1 HT 2-1	FC Haka Juniors

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	21	20	1	0	89	18	61
2	TPV II	22	17	1	4	67	31	52
3	Tampere Utd II	22	15	3	4	61	22	48
4	NoPS	21	14	2	5	69	29	44
5	TP-T	20	9	2	9	47	38	29
6	FC Haka Juniors	21	9	1	11	45	58	28
7	FC LeKi	20	8	2	10	44	43	26
8	Ylojarvi United	21	7	2	12	37	51	23
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	21	7	2	12	30	48	23
10	ACE	21	5	1	15	40	58	16
11	Fish United	21	4	2	15	27	69	14
12	TP-49	21	1	1	19	22	113	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Haka Juniors	FC LeKi
TP-49	4-1 W	6-2 W
Fish United	3-2 W	5-1 W
ACE	4-2 W	2-4 L
Ylojarvi United	5-4 W	1-1 D
Saaksjærven Loiske	1-3 L	3-1 W
TP-T	0-7 L	0-2 L
FC Lasten	1-2 L	1-3 L
TPV II	0-5 L	1-5 L
Tampere Utd II	2-2 D	3-1 W
NoPS	0-7 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC LeKi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka Juniors

LDLLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	4-1	–	–	W
15/09	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
11/09	ACE Finland Kolmonen	–	4-2	–	–	W
01/09	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	3-2	5-4	4	7	W
27/08	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	1	L
18/08	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	3	1	L
11/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
07/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
24/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	3	L

FC LeKi

WDLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
16/09	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-5	8	4	L
11/09	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	2	2	W
04/09	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
27/08	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
20/08	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	6-2	–	–	W
13/08	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	–	5-1	–	–	W
07/08	ACE Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-4	5	3	L
01/08	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
24/07	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka Juniors vs FC LeKi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Haka Juniors win (43%). Probabilities: FC Haka Juniors 43%, draw 20%, FC LeKi 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka Juniors vs FC LeKi?

The model expects 4.5 goals (FC Haka Juniors 2.33 · FC LeKi 2.16), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka Juniors vs FC LeKi?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.