Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: PiPS vs VG-62

Team pages: PiPS · VG-62

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

PiPS1.64

VG-621.69

1X2

37% 24% 39%

PiPS Draw VG-62

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

PiPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWWWD

VG-62 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

PiPS 2–2 VG-62 (4 last)

VG-623-0PiPS
PiPS3-0VG-62
VG-621-2PiPS
PiPS1-2VG-62

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PiPS 1490 · VG-62 1444

	PiPS	Draw	VG-62
Our model	37%	25%	39%
Market	38%	23%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PiPS (rating 1490 vs 1444).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PiPS	VG-62
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	43/0/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6	1.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.90

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +5’	2.38	3.90	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PiPS 2–0–2 VG-62

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	3-0 HT 1-0	PiPS
05/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	PiPS	3-0 HT 1-0	VG-62
30/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	1-2 HT 0-1	PiPS
22/03/25 Europe Friendlies	PiPS	1-2 HT 1-0	VG-62

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	21	15	4	2	46	14	49
2	IFK Mariehamn II	21	13	3	5	49	25	42
3	PIF Parainen	20	11	4	5	37	24	37
4	Peimari United	21	9	9	3	37	24	36
5	SAPA/2	21	9	4	8	33	33	31
6	LTU	21	9	3	9	28	27	30
7	MaPS	21	9	2	10	36	35	29
8	KaaPo	21	8	1	12	35	44	25
9	VG-62	20	8	0	12	28	32	24
10	PiPS	21	6	3	12	23	42	21
11	JyTy	21	5	4	12	23	47	19
12	ACF	21	2	5	14	18	46	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PiPS	VG-62
Peimari United	2-2 D	2-3 L
JyTy	1-0 W	1-2 L
KaaPo	3-1 W	0-2 L
PIF Parainen	1-0 W	0-1 L
MaPS	2-1 W	1-2 L
ACF	1-2 L	3-0 W
EuPa	1-4 L	2-3 L
LTU	2-4 L	2-0 W
IFK Mariehamn II	1-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: PiPS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PiPS

LLLLLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
12/09	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	12	3	W
04/09	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
20/08	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
14/08	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	11	0	L
08/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
31/07	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	5	3	L

VG-62

WLLLLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
04/09	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
26/08	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
21/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
15/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
07/08	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
28/07	SAPA/2 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
23/07	ACF Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PiPS vs VG-62?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VG-62 win (39%). Probabilities: PiPS 37%, draw 24%, VG-62 39%.

How many goals are expected in PiPS vs VG-62?

The model expects 3.33 goals (PiPS 1.64 · VG-62 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PiPS vs VG-62?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.