Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Valtti vs VJS Vantaa II

Team pages: Valtti · VJS Vantaa II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.36Total

Valtti2.32

VJS Vantaa II2.03

1X2

45% 21% 34%

Valtti Draw VJS Vantaa II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Valtti 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLLWW

VJS Vantaa II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDLLW

Head-to-head

Valtti 1–0 VJS Vantaa II (1 last)

VJS Vantaa II3-4Valtti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valtti 1498 · VJS Vantaa II 1523

	Valtti	Draw	VJS Vantaa II
Our model	45%	21%	34%
Market	45%	21%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valtti	VJS Vantaa II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	3.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.6	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:50 +22’	2.00	4.33	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valtti 1–0–0 VJS Vantaa II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	VJS Vantaa II	3-4 HT 2-1	Valtti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	21	13	2	6	47	36	41
2	Tips Vantaa	21	12	2	7	47	41	38
3	ToTe	20	11	4	5	44	25	37
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	21	10	6	5	61	32	36
5	LPS Helsinki	19	11	2	6	53	36	35
6	Valtti	20	10	2	8	43	39	32
7	VJS Vantaa II	21	9	3	9	64	39	30
8	Atlantis FC/PM	21	8	3	10	51	74	27
9	HPS II	21	7	5	9	49	52	26
10	Töölön Taisto	21	4	9	8	42	50	21
11	FC Kontu	21	4	6	11	34	52	18
12	PPS	21	2	2	17	24	83	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valtti	VJS Vantaa II
MPS/Atletico Malmi	3-1 W	1-2 L
PPS	7-2 W	4-0 W
HPS II	2-3 L	3-1 W
LPS Helsinki	1-3 L	3-0 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	1-0 W	1-3 L
FC Kontu	2-2 D	1-2 L
Atlantis FC/PM	1-3 L	10-1 W
Töölön Taisto	1-1 D	4-2 W
Tips Vantaa	2-3 L	4-1 W
ToTe	0-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VJS Vantaa II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valtti

LLDLDWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	–	7-2	11	1	W
10/09	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	8	5	L
05/09	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
28/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
21/08	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
14/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
29/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
24/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	7	3	L

VJS Vantaa II

WWWLWWDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
20/09	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
10/09	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	7	3	L
07/09	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-3	3	5	D
28/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
22/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
13/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
09/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
01/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	4-0	10-1	7	2	W
24/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	4	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valtti vs VJS Vantaa II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valtti win (45%). Probabilities: Valtti 45%, draw 21%, VJS Vantaa II 34%.

How many goals are expected in Valtti vs VJS Vantaa II?

The model expects 4.36 goals (Valtti 2.32 · VJS Vantaa II 2.03), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Valtti vs VJS Vantaa II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.