Football · Finland Kolmonen · 07/08, 18:45

Prediction: PPS vs LPS Helsinki

Team pages: PPS · LPS Helsinki

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.78Total
PPS1.39
LPS Helsinki3.39
1X2
9% 12% 79%
PPS Draw LPS Helsinki
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
PPS 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLLL
LPS Helsinki 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
PPS 0–1 LPS Helsinki (1 last)
  • LPS Helsinki3-0PPS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPS 1383 · LPS Helsinki 1552
PPSDrawLPS Helsinki
Our model11%14%75%
Market7%10%83%
Estimated total (ours) 4.78 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LPS Helsinki (rating 1383 vs 1552).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PPSLPS Helsinki
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 4.52.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.91.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/33/67%78/0/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.91.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPS 001 LPS Helsinki

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
LPS Helsinki3-0
HT 2-0
PPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ToTe 12912 321228
2 MPS/Atletico Malmi 13913 312128
3 PPJ/Lauttasaari 13742 462025
4 Valtti 12705 252421
5 LPS Helsinki 11614 302619
6 VJS Vantaa II 13526 432517
7 Tips Vantaa 12516 273116
8 HPS II 13436 323415
9 Atlantis FC/PM 13427 285014
10 Toolon Taisto 12273 232513
11 FC Kontu 13346 243313
12 PPS 131012 12523

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPPSLPS Helsinki
ToTe 1-3 L 3-1 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi 1-2 L 1-3 L
FC Kontu 3-4 L 4-3 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari 0-9 L 1-0 W
Valtti 0-3 L 3-2 W
Toolon Taisto 0-5 L 2-2 D
Atlantis FC/PM 3-2 W 4-1 W
VJS Vantaa II 0-11 L 0-3 L
Tips Vantaa 1-3 L 7-4 W
HPS II 2-3 L 3-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 9 L 6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: LPS Helsinki (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPS

LLLWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-3 45 L
24/07 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 93 L
02/07 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-4 24 L
26/06 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-9 82 L
12/06 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 51 L
07/06 Toolon Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-5 04 L
27/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 72 W
20/05 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 0-11 51 L
15/05 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-3 41 L
08/05 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L

LPS Helsinki

DLLWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/07 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-0 45 W
24/07 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 49 L
26/06 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-3 01 W
17/06 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 7-4 24 W
13/06 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 23 W
05/06 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 4-1 52 W
29/05 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-2 24 W
22/05 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 3-4 83 L
16/05 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 L
07/05 Toolon Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-2 54 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPS vs LPS Helsinki?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LPS Helsinki win (79%). Probabilities: PPS 9%, draw 12%, LPS Helsinki 79%.

How many goals are expected in PPS vs LPS Helsinki?

The model expects 4.78 goals (PPS 1.39 · LPS Helsinki 3.39), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in PPS vs LPS Helsinki?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.