Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 17:00

Prediction: Töölön Taisto vs PPJ/Lauttasaari

Team pages: Töölön Taisto · PPJ/Lauttasaari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.41Total

Töölön Taisto1.61

PPJ/Lauttasaari2.81

1X2

20% 18% 62%

Töölön Taisto Draw PPJ/Lauttasaari

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Töölön Taisto 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLDDDL

PPJ/Lauttasaari 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLDW

Head-to-head

Töölön Taisto 2–2–2 PPJ/Lauttasaari (6 last)

PPJ/Lauttasaari2-2Töölön Taisto
PPJ/Lauttasaari3-3Töölön Taisto
PPJ/Lauttasaari1-3Töölön Taisto
Töölön Taisto0-3PPJ/Lauttasaari
Töölön Taisto3-0PPJ/Lauttasaari
PPJ/Lauttasaari1-0Töölön Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Töölön Taisto 1512 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1535

	Töölön Taisto	Draw	PPJ/Lauttasaari
Our model	20%	18%	62%
Market	20%	18%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Töölön Taisto	PPJ/Lauttasaari
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2	3.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	56/0/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X5.00

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:44 +18’	4.50	5.00	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Töölön Taisto 2–2–2 PPJ/Lauttasaari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-2 HT 0-2	Töölön Taisto
19/04/26 Finland Cup	PPJ/Lauttasaari	3-3 HT 2-2	Töölön Taisto
18/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	1-3 HT 1-1	Töölön Taisto
12/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	0-3 HT 0-2	PPJ/Lauttasaari
12/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	3-0 HT 0-0	PPJ/Lauttasaari
06/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	1-0 HT 0-0	Töölön Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	15	10	2	3	34	23	32
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	15	8	5	2	51	22	29
3	ToTe	14	9	2	3	33	15	29
4	LPS Helsinki	13	7	1	5	35	29	22
5	Valtti	14	7	1	6	27	28	22
6	VJS Vantaa II	15	6	2	7	48	28	20
7	Atlantis FC/PM	15	6	2	7	35	54	20
8	Tips Vantaa	14	6	1	7	30	35	19
9	HPS II	15	4	4	7	37	40	16
10	Töölön Taisto	14	2	8	4	25	30	14
11	FC Kontu	15	3	5	7	26	38	14
12	PPS	15	2	1	12	16	55	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Töölön Taisto	PPJ/Lauttasaari
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	0-1 L
Valtti	1-1 D	7-3 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-2 D	4-0 W
Tips Vantaa	1-1 D	1-2 L
ToTe	1-4 L	1-1 D
VJS Vantaa II	3-1 W	2-2 D
HPS II	2-2 D	3-3 D
PPS	5-0 W	9-0 W
FC Kontu	3-3 D	4-1 W
Atlantis FC/PM	2-2 D	6-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Lauttasaari (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Töölön Taisto

DDWDWLDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	9	3	L
06/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
23/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
24/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-1	9	9	W
11/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
07/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
28/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-3	2	4	D
21/05	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	4	4	D

PPJ/Lauttasaari

WWDLWWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	4-1	8	4	W
08/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
26/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-3	9	3	D
30/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-2	7	0	W
26/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	3-0	9-0	5	2	W
12/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
07/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
29/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	1	5	W
21/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	7-3	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Töölön Taisto vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PPJ/Lauttasaari win (62%). Probabilities: Töölön Taisto 20%, draw 18%, PPJ/Lauttasaari 62%.

How many goals are expected in Töölön Taisto vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

The model expects 4.41 goals (Töölön Taisto 1.61 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 2.81), with a 54% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Töölön Taisto vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.