Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 18:00

Prediction: Atlantis FC/PM vs ToTe

Team pages: Atlantis FC/PM · ToTe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

Atlantis FC/PM1.9

ToTe2.63

1X2

27% 19% 54%

Atlantis FC/PM Draw ToTe

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis FC/PM 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWLWW

ToTe 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Atlantis FC/PM 1–2 ToTe (3 last)

ToTe2-3Atlantis FC/PM
ToTe3-2Atlantis FC/PM
Atlantis FC/PM0-1ToTe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis FC/PM 1493 · ToTe 1535

	Atlantis FC/PM	Draw	ToTe
Our model	27%	19%	53%
Market	28%	19%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ToTe (rating 1493 vs 1535).
H2H favours ToTe: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis FC/PM	ToTe
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 3.9	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.75

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:01 +2’	3.25	4.75	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis FC/PM 1–0–2 ToTe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	2-3 HT 0-1	Atlantis FC/PM
02/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	3-2 HT 2-1	Atlantis FC/PM
24/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis FC/PM	0-1 HT 0-0	ToTe

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	15	10	2	3	34	23	32
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	15	8	5	2	51	22	29
3	ToTe	14	9	2	3	33	15	29
4	LPS Helsinki	13	7	1	5	35	29	22
5	Valtti	14	7	1	6	27	28	22
6	VJS Vantaa II	15	6	2	7	48	28	20
7	Atlantis FC/PM	15	6	2	7	35	54	20
8	Tips Vantaa	14	6	1	7	30	35	19
9	HPS II	15	4	4	7	37	40	16
10	Töölön Taisto	14	2	8	4	25	30	14
11	FC Kontu	15	3	5	7	26	38	14
12	PPS	15	2	1	12	16	55	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis FC/PM	ToTe
Valtti	3-1 W	2-0 W
HPS II	4-3 W	3-2 W
VJS Vantaa II	1-10 L	1-1 D
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-6 L	1-1 D
Tips Vantaa	4-2 W	0-2 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-6 L	3-0 W
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	1-3 L
PPS	2-3 L	3-1 W
Töölön Taisto	2-2 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ToTe (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis FC/PM

DLLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L
25/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-2	8	5	W
12/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-6	–	–	L
05/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
27/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
21/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	4	4	D

ToTe

WDWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
08/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
01/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	8	5	W
24/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-1	0	5	W
25/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	5	5	W
13/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
05/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
30/05	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
24/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis FC/PM vs ToTe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ToTe win (54%). Probabilities: Atlantis FC/PM 27%, draw 19%, ToTe 54%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis FC/PM vs ToTe?

The model expects 4.53 goals (Atlantis FC/PM 1.9 · ToTe 2.63), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis FC/PM vs ToTe?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.