Football · Finland Kolmonen · 21/08, 17:30

Prediction: Tips Vantaa vs PPS

Team pages: Tips Vantaa · PPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.57Total

Tips Vantaa3.15

PPS1.42

1X2

71% 14% 14%

Tips Vantaa Draw PPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tips Vantaa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLDWLW

PPS 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Tips Vantaa 1–0 PPS (1 last)

PPS1-3Tips Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tips Vantaa 1501 · PPS 1422

	Tips Vantaa	Draw	PPS
Our model	71%	15%	14%
Market	72%	14%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tips Vantaa (rating 1501 vs 1422).
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tips Vantaa	PPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.7	1.2 / 4.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.3 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.2	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.25

X6.50

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 5.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:25 +24’	1.25	6.50	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tips Vantaa 1–0–0 PPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPS	1-3 HT 0-0	Tips Vantaa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	15	10	2	3	34	23	32
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	15	8	5	2	51	22	29
3	ToTe	14	9	2	3	33	15	29
4	LPS Helsinki	13	7	1	5	35	29	22
5	Valtti	14	7	1	6	27	28	22
6	VJS Vantaa II	15	6	2	7	48	28	20
7	Atlantis FC/PM	15	6	2	7	35	54	20
8	Tips Vantaa	14	6	1	7	30	35	19
9	HPS II	15	4	4	7	37	40	16
10	Töölön Taisto	14	2	8	4	25	30	14
11	FC Kontu	15	3	5	7	26	38	14
12	PPS	15	2	1	12	16	55	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tips Vantaa	PPS
ToTe	2-0 W	1-3 L
VJS Vantaa II	1-4 L	0-11 L
Valtti	3-2 W	0-3 L
Töölön Taisto	1-1 D	0-5 L
Atlantis FC/PM	2-4 L	3-2 W
LPS Helsinki	4-7 L	2-1 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-1 W	0-9 L
FC Kontu	2-0 W	3-4 L
HPS II	1-5 L	2-2 D
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Tips Vantaa (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tips Vantaa

LLWWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
09/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L
12/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
28/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
22/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	3	2	L

PPS

LWLLLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	1	2	D
07/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
01/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
24/07	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	9	3	L
02/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-4	2	4	L
26/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-9	8	2	L
12/06	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
07/06	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-5	0	4	L
27/05	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	7	2	W
20/05	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	0-11	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tips Vantaa vs PPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tips Vantaa win (71%). Probabilities: Tips Vantaa 71%, draw 14%, PPS 14%.

How many goals are expected in Tips Vantaa vs PPS?

The model expects 4.57 goals (Tips Vantaa 3.15 · PPS 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tips Vantaa vs PPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.