Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Töölön Taisto vs ToTe

Team pages: Töölön Taisto · ToTe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Töölön Taisto1.84

ToTe2.02

1X2

36% 22% 42%

Töölön Taisto Draw ToTe

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Töölön Taisto 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWDLL

ToTe 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWDLWL

Head-to-head

Töölön Taisto 0–1–5 ToTe (6 last)

ToTe4-1Töölön Taisto
ToTe3-0Töölön Taisto
Töölön Taisto2-3ToTe
ToTe2-0Töölön Taisto
Töölön Taisto1-2ToTe
ToTe0-0Töölön Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Töölön Taisto 1454 · ToTe 1522

	Töölön Taisto	Draw	ToTe
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	36%	21%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ToTe (rating 1454 vs 1522).
H2H favours ToTe: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Töölön Taisto	ToTe
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.7	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	63/13/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.9	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +3’	2.50	4.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Töölön Taisto 0–1–5 ToTe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	4-1 HT 2-1	Töölön Taisto
30/07/22 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	3-0	Töölön Taisto
21/04/22 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	2-3 HT 0-1	ToTe
12/06/21 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	2-0 HT 1-0	Töölön Taisto
10/09/20 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	1-2 HT 0-2	ToTe
26/08/17 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	0-0 HT 0-0	Töölön Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	21	13	2	6	47	36	41
2	Tips Vantaa	21	12	2	7	47	41	38
3	ToTe	20	11	4	5	44	25	37
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	21	10	6	5	61	32	36
5	LPS Helsinki	19	11	2	6	53	36	35
6	Valtti	20	10	2	8	43	39	32
7	VJS Vantaa II	21	9	3	9	64	39	30
8	Atlantis FC/PM	21	8	3	10	51	74	27
9	HPS II	21	7	5	9	49	52	26
10	Töölön Taisto	21	4	9	8	42	50	21
11	FC Kontu	21	4	6	11	34	52	18
12	PPS	21	2	2	17	24	83	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Töölön Taisto	ToTe
VJS Vantaa II	2-4 L	3-3 D
HPS II	2-3 L	1-2 L
PPS	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Kontu	4-1 W	2-1 W
Tips Vantaa	3-5 L	0-2 L
Atlantis FC/PM	3-6 L	2-2 D
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-0 W	1-1 D
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	2-0 W
Valtti	1-1 D	2-0 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ToTe (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Töölön Taisto

DDLWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-4	2	5	L
17/09	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-3	3	1	L
11/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
04/09	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	3-5	7	7	L
27/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	3-6	6	2	L
20/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
14/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	9	3	L
06/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D

ToTe

WWDLDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
18/09	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
07/09	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-3	4	5	D
28/08	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
08/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
01/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	8	5	W
24/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Töölön Taisto vs ToTe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ToTe win (42%). Probabilities: Töölön Taisto 36%, draw 22%, ToTe 42%.

How many goals are expected in Töölön Taisto vs ToTe?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Töölön Taisto 1.84 · ToTe 2.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Töölön Taisto vs ToTe?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.