Football · Finland Kolmonen · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Atlantis FC/PM vs PPJ/Lauttasaari

Team pages: Atlantis FC/PM · PPJ/Lauttasaari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.77Total

Atlantis FC/PM1.73

PPJ/Lauttasaari3.04

1X2

20% 16% 64%

Atlantis FC/PM Draw PPJ/Lauttasaari

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-3 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis FC/PM 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWLLL

PPJ/Lauttasaari 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Atlantis FC/PM 0–1 PPJ/Lauttasaari (1 last)

PPJ/Lauttasaari6-2Atlantis FC/PM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis FC/PM 1492 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1500

	Atlantis FC/PM	Draw	PPJ/Lauttasaari
Our model	20%	17%	64%
Market	21%	15%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 4.77 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis FC/PM	PPJ/Lauttasaari
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 3.6	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	11/0/89%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	2.6 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X6.00

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 51.93

Under 51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	1.33 → 1.38▲	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:08 +13’	5.00	6.00	1.33
05:58 +11’	4.33▼	6.00	1.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis FC/PM 0–0–1 PPJ/Lauttasaari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	6-2 HT 3-1	Atlantis FC/PM

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	21	13	2	6	47	36	41
2	Tips Vantaa	21	12	2	7	47	41	38
3	ToTe	20	11	4	5	44	25	37
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	21	10	6	5	61	32	36
5	LPS Helsinki	19	11	2	6	53	36	35
6	Valtti	20	10	2	8	43	39	32
7	VJS Vantaa II	21	9	3	9	64	39	30
8	Atlantis FC/PM	21	8	3	10	51	74	27
9	HPS II	21	7	5	9	49	52	26
10	Töölön Taisto	21	4	9	8	42	50	21
11	FC Kontu	21	4	6	11	34	52	18
12	PPS	21	2	2	17	24	83	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis FC/PM	PPJ/Lauttasaari
Tips Vantaa	0-2 L	0-0 D
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-7 L	0-2 L
LPS Helsinki	1-5 L	0-1 L
PPS	6-1 W	7-4 W
Töölön Taisto	6-3 W	0-2 L
ToTe	2-2 D	1-1 D
Valtti	3-1 W	0-1 L
HPS II	4-3 W	3-3 D
VJS Vantaa II	1-10 L	3-1 W
FC Kontu	3-2 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Lauttasaari (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis FC/PM

WLWWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-7	4	2	L
10/09	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-5	12	4	L
04/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-1	3	2	W
27/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-3	7	2	W
20/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W

PPJ/Lauttasaari

DLDWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	3-4	7-4	12	3	W
19/09	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	5	3	W
03/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
28/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
20/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
14/08	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	4-1	8	4	W
08/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
26/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-3	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PPJ/Lauttasaari win (64%). Probabilities: Atlantis FC/PM 20%, draw 16%, PPJ/Lauttasaari 64%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

The model expects 4.77 goals (Atlantis FC/PM 1.73 · PPJ/Lauttasaari 3.04), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPJ/Lauttasaari?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.