Prediction: TP-T vs ACE
- ACE1-2TP-T
- ACE3-2TP-T
- TP-T4-1ACE
- ACE0-4TP-T
- ACE4-1TP-T
- TP-T0-4ACE
| TP-T | Draw | ACE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| Market | 62% | 18% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP-T (rating 1546 vs 1471).
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TP-T | ACE | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.7 | 2.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/13/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-T 3–0–3 ACE
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 1-2 HT 0-0 | TP-T |
| 26/09/25 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 3-2 HT 2-0 | TP-T |
| 26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 4-1 HT 2-1 | ACE |
| 27/06/24 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 0-4 HT 0-1 | TP-T |
| 27/07/23 Finland Kolmonen | ACE | 4-1 HT 2-1 | TP-T |
| 20/04/23 Finland Kolmonen | TP-T | 0-4 HT 0-1 | ACE |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lasten | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 18 | 61 |
| 2 | TPV II | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 67 | 31 | 52 |
| 3 | Tampere Utd II | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 22 | 48 |
| 4 | NoPS | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 69 | 29 | 44 |
| 5 | TP-T | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Haka Juniors | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 58 | 28 |
| 7 | FC LeKi | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 26 |
| 8 | Ylojarvi United | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 51 | 23 |
| 9 | Saaksjærven Loiske | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 48 | 23 |
| 10 | ACE | 21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 58 | 16 |
| 11 | Fish United | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 27 | 69 | 14 |
| 12 | TP-49 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 113 | 4 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TP-T | ACE |
|---|---|---|
| Tampere Utd II | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Ylojarvi United | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| NoPS | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Saaksjærven Loiske | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FC LeKi | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Haka Juniors | 7-0 W | 2-4 L |
| TP-49 | 11-2 W | 6-0 W |
| FC Lasten | 0-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Fish United | 4-1 W | 2-5 L |
| TPV II | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: TP-T (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TP-T
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/08 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/08 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 13/08 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
5-0 | 11-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 06/08 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
ACE
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/09 | FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | TPV II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | NoPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/08 | FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | TP-49 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Fish United Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TP-T vs ACE?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-T win (62%). Probabilities: TP-T 62%, draw 18%, ACE 20%.
How many goals are expected in TP-T vs ACE?
The model expects 4.38 goals (TP-T 2.79 · ACE 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in TP-T vs ACE?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

