Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: TP-T vs ACE

Team pages: TP-T · ACE

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
TP-T2.79
ACE1.6
1X2
62% 18% 20%
TP-T Draw ACE
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
TP-T 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLLWW
ACE 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLLWW
Head-to-head
TP-T 3–3 ACE (6 last)
  • ACE1-2TP-T
  • ACE3-2TP-T
  • TP-T4-1ACE
  • ACE0-4TP-T
  • ACE4-1TP-T
  • TP-T0-4ACE
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-T 1546 · ACE 1471
TP-TDrawACE
Our model62%18%20%
Market62%18%20%
Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP-T (rating 1546 vs 1471).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TP-TACE
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 1.72.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.81 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%50/13/38%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.91.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-T 3–0–3 ACE

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/07/26
Finland Kolmonen
ACE1-2
HT 0-0
TP-T
26/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
ACE3-2
HT 2-0
TP-T
26/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T4-1
HT 2-1
ACE
27/06/24
Finland Kolmonen
ACE0-4
HT 0-1
TP-T
27/07/23
Finland Kolmonen
ACE4-1
HT 2-1
TP-T
20/04/23
Finland Kolmonen
TP-T0-4
HT 0-1
ACE

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lasten 212010 891861
2 TPV II 221714 673152
3 Tampere Utd II 221534 612248
4 NoPS 211425 692944
5 TP-T 20929 473829
6 FC Haka Juniors 219111 455828
7 FC LeKi 208210 444326
8 Ylojarvi United 217212 375123
9 Saaksjærven Loiske 217212 304823
10 ACE 215115 405816
11 Fish United 214215 276914
12 TP-49 211119 221134

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTP-TACE
Tampere Utd II 2-1 W 0-3 L
Ylojarvi United 1-0 W 6-0 W
NoPS 1-5 L 0-2 L
Saaksjærven Loiske 1-2 L 2-0 W
FC LeKi 2-0 W 4-2 W
FC Haka Juniors 7-0 W 2-4 L
TP-49 11-2 W 6-0 W
FC Lasten 0-3 L 1-6 L
Fish United 4-1 W 2-5 L
TPV II 0-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: TP-T (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-T

LWLWWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 71 W
19/09 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
– 1-0 –– W
10/09 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-5 44 L
05/09 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 62 L
27/08 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 35 W
18/08 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 7-0 91 W
13/08 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 11-2 100 W
06/08 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-3 33 L
30/07 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 4-1 74 W
22/07 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 47 L

ACE

LWWLLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Ylojarvi United
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 6-0 51 W
18/09 Saaksjærven Loiske
Finland Kolmonen
– 2-0 52 W
11/09 FC Haka Juniors
Finland Kolmonen
– 2-4 –– L
03/09 FC Lasten
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-6 12 L
28/08 TPV II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 53 L
20/08 Tampere Utd II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-3 02 L
14/08 NoPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 10 L
07/08 FC LeKi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 23 W
31/07 TP-49
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 6-0 32 W
23/07 Fish United
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-5 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-T vs ACE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-T win (62%). Probabilities: TP-T 62%, draw 18%, ACE 20%.

How many goals are expected in TP-T vs ACE?

The model expects 4.38 goals (TP-T 2.79 · ACE 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-T vs ACE?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.