Football · Finland Kolmonen · 24/09, 17:15

Prediction: JyTy vs ACF

Team pages: JyTy · ACF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

JyTy1.9

ACF1.29

1X2

51% 23% 26%

JyTy Draw ACF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

JyTy 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLWDLL

ACF 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

JyTy 0–1 ACF (1 last)

ACF2-0JyTy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyTy 1448 · ACF 1424

	JyTy	Draw	ACF
Our model	51%	24%	25%
Market	52%	21%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JyTy	ACF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/13/75%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 5	1.4 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:03 +2’	1.73	4.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JyTy 0–0–1 ACF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	ACF	2-0 HT 0-0	JyTy

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	20	14	4	2	43	13	46
2	IFK Mariehamn II	20	13	3	4	48	22	42
3	Peimari United	20	9	8	3	35	22	35
4	PIF Parainen	19	10	4	5	35	23	34
5	LTU	20	9	3	8	28	25	30
6	SAPA/2	20	9	3	8	31	31	30
7	MaPS	20	9	2	9	35	33	29
8	KaaPo	20	8	0	12	33	42	24
9	VG-62	19	7	0	12	26	32	21
10	PiPS	20	6	2	12	21	40	20
11	JyTy	20	4	4	12	21	46	16
12	ACF	20	2	5	13	17	44	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JyTy	ACF
PiPS	0-1 L	2-1 W
LTU	1-3 L	1-4 L
IFK Mariehamn II	1-1 D	2-2 D
VG-62	2-1 W	0-3 L
EuPa	1-1 D	0-2 L
KaaPo	2-1 W	0-2 L
PIF Parainen	1-3 L	2-4 L
MaPS	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: JyTy (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyTy

LDLWDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
11/09	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
05/09	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/08	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
06/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
01/08	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
23/07	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
18/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-5	6	1	L

ACF

WLDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
12/09	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
25/08	SAPA/2 Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-3	1	1	L
21/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
14/08	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
07/08	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-4	0	6	L
02/08	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	2	5	D
23/07	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
25/06	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyTy vs ACF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JyTy win (51%). Probabilities: JyTy 51%, draw 23%, ACF 26%.

How many goals are expected in JyTy vs ACF?

The model expects 3.19 goals (JyTy 1.9 · ACF 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JyTy vs ACF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.