Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/09, 12:30

Prediction: PIF Parainen vs MaPS

Team pages: PIF Parainen · MaPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

PIF Parainen2.15

MaPS1.21

1X2

58% 21% 20%

PIF Parainen Draw MaPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

PIF Parainen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDDLWL

MaPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

PIF Parainen 3–3–0 MaPS (6 last)

MaPS0-2PIF Parainen
MaPS2-2PIF Parainen
PIF Parainen2-0MaPS
MaPS1-1PIF Parainen
MaPS0-2PIF Parainen
PIF Parainen2-2MaPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PIF Parainen 1508 · MaPS 1493

	PIF Parainen	Draw	MaPS
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	59%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours PIF Parainen: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PIF Parainen	MaPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	0/43/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +3’	1.53	4.33	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PIF Parainen 3–3–0 MaPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	0-2 HT 0-0	PIF Parainen
08/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	2-2	PIF Parainen
29/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	PIF Parainen	2-0 HT 0-0	MaPS
29/03/25 Finland Cup	MaPS	1-1 HT 0-1	PIF Parainen
16/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	0-2 HT 0-0	PIF Parainen
29/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	PIF Parainen	2-2 HT 2-0	MaPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	20	14	4	2	43	13	46
2	IFK Mariehamn II	20	13	3	4	48	22	42
3	Peimari United	20	9	8	3	35	22	35
4	PIF Parainen	19	10	4	5	35	23	34
5	LTU	20	9	3	8	28	25	30
6	SAPA/2	20	9	3	8	31	31	30
7	MaPS	20	9	2	9	35	33	29
8	KaaPo	20	8	0	12	33	42	24
9	VG-62	19	7	0	12	26	32	21
10	PiPS	20	6	2	12	21	40	20
11	JyTy	21	5	4	12	23	47	19
12	ACF	21	2	5	14	18	46	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PIF Parainen	MaPS
SAPA/2	1-4 L	7-1 W
ACF	4-2 W	2-0 W
PiPS	0-1 L	1-2 L
LTU	1-1 D	1-2 L
IFK Mariehamn II	1-1 D	1-0 W
VG-62	1-0 W	2-1 W
Peimari United	0-3 L	1-2 L
JyTy	3-1 W	1-1 D
EuPa	1-2 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PIF Parainen

LWWLWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	SAPA/2 Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	4	L
12/09	ACF Finland Kolmonen	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/09	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
22/08	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
08/08	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	0-3	–	–	L
01/08	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	5	W
22/07	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	7	3	W
02/07	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	9	2	L

MaPS

LDLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	0-4	–	–	L
11/09	SAPA/2 Finland Kolmonen	–	7-1	–	–	W
04/09	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	11	4	W
28/08	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
21/08	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
15/08	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/08	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
31/07	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
23/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PIF Parainen vs MaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PIF Parainen win (58%). Probabilities: PIF Parainen 58%, draw 21%, MaPS 20%.

How many goals are expected in PIF Parainen vs MaPS?

The model expects 3.36 goals (PIF Parainen 2.15 · MaPS 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PIF Parainen vs MaPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.