Football · Finland Kolmonen · 28/08, 17:30

Prediction: MaPS vs PiPS

Team pages: MaPS · PiPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

MaPS2.41

PiPS1.13

1X2

65% 19% 16%

MaPS Draw PiPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MaPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLWWL

PiPS 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

MaPS 3–0 PiPS (3 last)

PiPS2-3MaPS
MaPS2-0PiPS
PiPS2-5MaPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MaPS 1484 · PiPS 1421

	MaPS	Draw	PiPS
Our model	65%	20%	15%
Market	66%	18%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MaPS (rating 1484 vs 1421).
H2H favours MaPS: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MaPS	PiPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.8	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	2.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +38’	1.36	5.00	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MaPS 3–0–0 PiPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	PiPS	2-3	MaPS
01/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	2-0	PiPS
03/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	PiPS	2-5	MaPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	16	11	3	2	35	11	36
2	IFK Mariehamn II	16	11	2	3	39	15	35
3	PIF Parainen	15	9	3	3	29	15	30
4	SalPa 2	17	8	3	6	26	22	27
5	Peimari United	16	6	7	3	28	18	25
6	MaPS	16	7	2	7	25	26	23
7	LTU	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
8	VG-62	16	7	0	9	20	22	21
9	KaaPo	16	7	0	9	28	33	21
10	JyTy	17	4	3	10	19	41	15
11	ACF	17	2	5	10	15	36	11
12	PiPS	16	2	2	12	14	38	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MaPS	PiPS
LTU	1-2 L	2-4 L
IFK Mariehamn II	1-0 W	1-3 L
VG-62	2-1 W	0-3 L
Peimari United	1-2 L	2-2 D
JyTy	1-1 D	1-0 W
PIF Parainen	0-2 L	1-3 L
KaaPo	1-2 L	1-0 W
EuPa	1-5 L	1-4 L
SalPa 2	2-4 L	0-3 L
ACF	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: MaPS (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MaPS

WLLLLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
15/08	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/08	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
31/07	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
23/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
17/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	5	9	L
12/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	5	5	L
02/06	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-4	9	0	L
29/05	ACF Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-0	11	3	W

PiPS

LWWLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
14/08	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	11	0	L
08/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
31/07	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
25/06	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/06	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
11/06	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
03/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
28/05	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MaPS vs PiPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MaPS win (65%). Probabilities: MaPS 65%, draw 19%, PiPS 16%.

How many goals are expected in MaPS vs PiPS?

The model expects 3.54 goals (MaPS 2.41 · PiPS 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MaPS vs PiPS?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.