Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Gilla FC vs GrIFK Reservi

Team pages: Gilla FC · GrIFK Reservi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Gilla FC2.01

GrIFK Reservi1.83

1X2

42% 22% 36%

Gilla FC Draw GrIFK Reservi

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gilla FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLWD

GrIFK Reservi 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Gilla FC 1–0 GrIFK Reservi (1 last)

GrIFK Reservi1-2Gilla FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gilla FC 1490 · GrIFK Reservi 1542

	Gilla FC	Draw	GrIFK Reservi
Our model	42%	23%	35%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK Reservi (rating 1490 vs 1542).
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gilla FC	GrIFK Reservi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.3	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	67/11/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:15 +11’	2.10	4.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gilla FC 1–0–0 GrIFK Reservi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	GrIFK Reservi	1-2 HT 0-2	Gilla FC

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	18	12	4	2	61	24	40
2	ESPA	17	12	3	2	42	15	39
3	LePa	18	11	3	4	38	29	36
4	Poxyt	17	8	2	7	36	36	26
5	LoPa	18	7	3	8	29	31	24
6	NuPS	17	6	5	6	28	24	23
7	GrIFK Reservi	17	7	2	8	32	31	23
8	Gilla FC	17	6	3	8	34	37	21
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	17	5	3	9	25	42	18
10	HooGee	18	5	1	12	32	48	16
11	EPS Reservi	17	3	5	9	24	48	14
12	MPS	17	3	4	10	15	31	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gilla FC	GrIFK Reservi
EPS Reservi	2-2 D	0-2 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti	2-0 W	3-2 W
ESPA	1-4 L	4-2 W
Poxyt	1-3 L	3-1 W
MPS	3-2 W	3-0 W
LePa	0-2 L	4-0 W
HooGee	6-3 W	2-0 W
LoPa	2-3 L	2-1 W
EIF Academy	1-3 L	1-2 L
NuPS	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK Reservi (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gilla FC

DLLWLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	0	D
20/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	8	4	L
08/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	4	7	W
22/07	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
01/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	3-2	6-3	6	1	W
23/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	1	2	L
10/06	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
07/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	5	D

GrIFK Reservi

WWWLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
16/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-2	3	1	W
06/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
30/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
26/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
03/07	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-3	–	–	L
28/06	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-2	5	5	W
12/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
07/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gilla FC vs GrIFK Reservi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gilla FC win (42%). Probabilities: Gilla FC 42%, draw 22%, GrIFK Reservi 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gilla FC vs GrIFK Reservi?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Gilla FC 2.01 · GrIFK Reservi 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gilla FC vs GrIFK Reservi?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.