Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-T

Team pages: Saaksjærven Loiske · TP-T

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Saaksjærven Loiske1.64

TP-T2.18

1X2

29% 21% 50%

Saaksjærven Loiske Draw TP-T

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Saaksjærven Loiske 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLLLW

TP-T 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Saaksjærven Loiske 2–4 TP-T (6 last)

TP-T1-2Saaksjærven Loiske
TP-T6-0Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske1-5TP-T
TP-T1-2Saaksjærven Loiske
Saaksjærven Loiske2-3TP-T
Saaksjærven Loiske0-3TP-T

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saaksjærven Loiske 1491 · TP-T 1548

	Saaksjærven Loiske	Draw	TP-T
Our model	28%	22%	49%
Market	29%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TP-T (rating 1491 vs 1548).
H2H favours TP-T: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saaksjærven Loiske	TP-T
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	3.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.3	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.33

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:14 +9’	3.10	4.33	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saaksjærven Loiske 2–0–4 TP-T

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	1-2 HT 1-1	Saaksjærven Loiske
07/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	6-0 HT 3-0	Saaksjærven Loiske
03/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	1-5 HT 0-1	TP-T
25/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	TP-T	1-2 HT 0-2	Saaksjærven Loiske
03/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	2-3 HT 0-3	TP-T
09/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	Saaksjærven Loiske	0-3 HT 0-0	TP-T

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	18	17	1	0	72	15	52
2	TPV II	18	14	1	3	45	22	43
3	Tampere Utd II	17	12	3	2	38	15	39
4	NoPS	17	12	2	3	56	18	38
5	TP-T	16	7	2	7	42	30	23
6	FC LeKi	16	7	2	7	37	31	23
7	Ylojarvi United	18	7	2	9	37	41	23
8	FC Haka Juniors	18	6	1	11	34	53	19
9	Saaksjærven Loiske	17	5	2	10	22	41	17
10	Fish United	18	3	2	13	20	58	11
11	ACE	18	3	1	14	30	54	10
12	TP-49	17	1	1	15	19	74	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saaksjærven Loiske	TP-T
FC Haka Juniors	3-1 W	7-0 W
FC Lasten	1-4 L	0-3 L
TPV II	1-2 L	0-3 L
Tampere Utd II	0-2 L	0-2 L
FC LeKi	1-3 L	2-0 W
TP-49	4-3 W	11-2 W
Fish United	0-0 D	4-1 W
ACE	2-1 W	2-1 W
Ylojarvi United	4-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TP-T (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saaksjærven Loiske

WWDWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	8	1	W
20/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
14/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
08/08	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
31/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
24/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
04/07	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	4	1	W
24/06	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	12	5	D
12/06	ACE Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W

TP-T

WLWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
18/08	FC Haka Juniors Finland Kolmonen	3-0	7-0	9	1	W
13/08	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	5-0	11-2	10	0	W
06/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
30/07	Fish United Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-1	7	4	W
22/07	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
17/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
03/07	ACE Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
27/06	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
11/06	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-T?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TP-T win (50%). Probabilities: Saaksjærven Loiske 29%, draw 21%, TP-T 50%.

How many goals are expected in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-T?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Saaksjærven Loiske 1.64 · TP-T 2.18), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-T?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.