Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: JyTy vs VG-62

Team pages: JyTy · VG-62

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

JyTy1.49

VG-621.81

1X2

32% 23% 45%

JyTy Draw VG-62

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

JyTy 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWLWL

VG-62 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLWL

Head-to-head

JyTy 0–2 VG-62 (2 last)

VG-621-0JyTy
JyTy1-2VG-62

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyTy 1441 · VG-62 1504

	JyTy	Draw	VG-62
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	32%	22%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VG-62 (rating 1441 vs 1504).
H2H favours VG-62: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JyTy	VG-62
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.6	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/11/78%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	1.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +11’	2.75	4.00	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JyTy 0–0–2 VG-62

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	1-0 HT 1-0	JyTy
30/06/21 Finland Kolmonen	JyTy	1-2 HT 1-1	VG-62

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EuPa	16	11	3	2	35	11	36
2	IFK Mariehamn II	16	11	2	3	39	15	35
3	PIF Parainen	15	9	3	3	29	15	30
4	Peimari United	16	6	7	3	28	18	25
5	SalPa 2	16	7	3	6	23	20	24
6	MaPS	16	7	2	7	25	26	23
7	LTU	16	7	2	7	20	21	23
8	VG-62	15	7	0	8	19	20	21
9	KaaPo	16	7	0	9	28	33	21
10	JyTy	16	3	3	10	17	40	12
11	ACF	16	2	5	9	13	33	11
12	PiPS	16	2	2	12	14	38	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JyTy	VG-62
Peimari United	0-2 L	1-3 L
KaaPo	2-1 W	0-2 L
PiPS	0-1 L	3-0 W
EuPa	1-5 L	2-1 W
MaPS	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VG-62 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyTy

LLLLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
11/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
04/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-2	6	3	W
22/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
15/05	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
07/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
29/04	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	3	L
23/04	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	7	3	L
17/04	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	6	6	L

VG-62

WWWLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
17/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
13/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
05/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/05	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/05	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/05	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
02/05	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W
24/04	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
17/04	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyTy vs VG-62?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VG-62 win (45%). Probabilities: JyTy 32%, draw 23%, VG-62 45%.

How many goals are expected in JyTy vs VG-62?

The model expects 3.3 goals (JyTy 1.49 · VG-62 1.81), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JyTy vs VG-62?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.