Football · Finland Kolmonen · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: VG-62 vs MaPS

Team pages: VG-62 · MaPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

VG-621.91

MaPS1.52

1X2

46% 23% 30%

VG-62 Draw MaPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

VG-62 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWLWL

MaPS 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

VG-62 3–2–1 MaPS (6 last)

MaPS0-1VG-62
VG-622-2MaPS
MaPS1-0VG-62
VG-620-0MaPS
MaPS1-3VG-62
MaPS2-3VG-62

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VG-62 1493 · MaPS 1467

	VG-62	Draw	MaPS
Our model	46%	24%	30%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours VG-62: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VG-62	MaPS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3.3	2.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +4’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VG-62 3–2–1 MaPS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	0-1	VG-62
12/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	2-2 HT 2-0	MaPS
06/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	1-0	VG-62
09/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	VG-62	0-0 HT 0-0	MaPS
26/04/24 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	1-3 HT 1-1	VG-62
11/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	MaPS	2-3 HT 2-0	VG-62

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	13	10	1	2	36	13	31
2	EuPa	13	9	2	2	28	9	29
3	PIF Parainen	12	8	2	2	27	11	26
4	SalPa 2	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
5	VG-62	12	7	0	5	18	15	21
6	KaaPo	13	6	0	7	25	28	18
7	MaPS	13	5	2	6	21	23	17
8	Peimari United	13	3	7	3	20	18	16
9	LTU	13	4	2	7	12	18	14
10	ACF	13	1	5	7	10	26	8
11	PiPS	13	2	2	9	12	29	8
12	JyTy	13	2	2	9	14	36	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VG-62	MaPS
SalPa 2	1-3 L	2-4 L
ACF	3-0 W	3-0 W
LTU	1-2 L	3-1 W
PiPS	3-0 W	3-2 W
IFK Mariehamn II	0-2 L	3-2 W
EuPa	2-1 W	1-5 L
Peimari United	1-3 L	1-2 L
JyTy	1-0 W	1-1 D
KaaPo	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MaPS (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VG-62

WLWLWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
23/07	ACF Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
26/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
17/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
13/06	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
05/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/05	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/05	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/05	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
02/05	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

MaPS

WWWWLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
23/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
27/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
17/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	5	9	L
12/06	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	5	5	L
02/06	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-4	9	0	L
29/05	ACF Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-0	11	3	W
22/05	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
14/05	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
09/05	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VG-62 vs MaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VG-62 win (46%). Probabilities: VG-62 46%, draw 23%, MaPS 30%.

How many goals are expected in VG-62 vs MaPS?

The model expects 3.43 goals (VG-62 1.91 · MaPS 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VG-62 vs MaPS?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.