Prediction: JyTy vs IFK Mariehamn II
| JyTy | Draw | IFK Mariehamn II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 21% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Mariehamn II (rating 1437 vs 1577).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JyTy | IFK Mariehamn II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EuPa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | IFK Mariehamn II | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | PIF Parainen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | KaaPo | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 5 | VG-62 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | SalPa 2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | MaPS | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | Peimari United | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 12 |
| 9 | LTU | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | PiPS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | ACF | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
| 12 | JyTy | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JyTy | IFK Mariehamn II |
|---|---|---|
| SalPa 2 | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| ACF | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| PiPS | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| LTU | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| VG-62 | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Peimari United | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| EuPa | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| KaaPo | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| PIF Parainen | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| MaPS | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 7 L | 8 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Mariehamn II (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JyTy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | EuPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
IFK Mariehamn II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | LTU Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | EuPa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | VG-62 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Peimari United Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | KaaPo Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | MaPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | ACF Finland Kolmonen |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | PiPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JyTy vs IFK Mariehamn II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Mariehamn II win (58%). Probabilities: JyTy 22%, draw 21%, IFK Mariehamn II 58%.
How many goals are expected in JyTy vs IFK Mariehamn II?
The model expects 3.85 goals (JyTy 1.46 · IFK Mariehamn II 2.4), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in JyTy vs IFK Mariehamn II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.