Football · USA MLS · 01/11, 22:30

Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders

Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps · Seattle Sounders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Vancouver Whitecaps1.92

Seattle Sounders0.99

1X2

59% 23% 19%

Vancouver Whitecaps Draw Seattle Sounders

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDDWLW

Seattle Sounders 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLDDL

Head-to-head

Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1–3 Seattle Sounders (6 last)

Seattle Sounders0-2Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders2-1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps0-3Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders2-2Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps3-0Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps0-3Seattle Sounders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vancouver Whitecaps 1492 · Seattle Sounders 1521

	Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Seattle Sounders
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Seattle Sounders: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vancouver Whitecaps	Seattle Sounders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.5	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 02:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.62
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.48 ★
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +6’	1.53	4.33	4.75
14:53 +2’	1.61▲	4.33	4.75
02:28 +5’	1.61	4.33	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +5’	1.62	4.45	4.65
21:33 +9’	1.62	4.48▲	4.62▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1–3 Seattle Sounders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/26 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	0-2 HT 0-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
19/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup	Seattle Sounders	2-1 HT 0-1	Vancouver Whitecaps
13/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup	Vancouver Whitecaps	0-3 HT 0-1	Seattle Sounders
28/09/25 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	2-2 HT 0-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
09/06/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-0 HT 1-0	Seattle Sounders
03/10/24 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	0-3 HT 0-1	Seattle Sounders

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	32	17	7	8	67	33	58
2	FC Dallas	32	15	9	8	58	49	54
3	St. Louis City SC	32	14	9	9	58	47	51
4	Houston Dynamo	32	14	9	9	42	39	51
5	San Jose Earthquakes	32	13	10	9	54	47	49
6	Los Angeles FC	32	12	11	9	50	35	47
7	Colorado Rapids	32	12	7	13	44	43	43
8	Seattle Sounders	32	11	10	11	41	40	43
9	Real Salt Lake	32	12	6	14	50	49	42
10	LA Galaxy	32	10	11	11	45	54	41
11	Portland Timbers	32	11	7	14	57	60	40
12	Minnesota United	32	9	11	12	50	56	38
13	San Diego FC	32	8	11	13	56	62	35
14	Austin FC	32	8	10	14	41	59	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	32	6	4	22	38	80	22

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vancouver Whitecaps	Seattle Sounders
San Diego FC	4-1 W	2-2 D
Colorado Rapids	0-1 L	3-3 D
Real Salt Lake	3-0 W	2-0 W
LA Galaxy	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vancouver Whitecaps

WLWDLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	San Diego FC USA MLS	2-0	4-1	8	5	W
25/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
18/10	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
15/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
11/10	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
07/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
27/09	DC United USA MLS	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
20/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	4	W

Seattle Sounders

DDWWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
25/10	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
18/10	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
15/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	0-1	11	2	L
11/10	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
02/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-1	2-1	11	2	W
27/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
24/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
20/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	3-3	6	1	D
13/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver Whitecaps win (59%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps 59%, draw 23%, Seattle Sounders 19%.

How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps 1.92 · Seattle Sounders 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.