Football · Brazil Serie B · 08/10, 00:30

Prediction: Operario PR vs Botafogo SP

Team pages: Operario PR · Botafogo SP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Operario PR1.61

Botafogo SP0.99

1X2

50% 28% 22%

Operario PR Draw Botafogo SP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Operario PR 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWDWD

Botafogo SP 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Operario PR 2–2–2 Botafogo SP (6 last)

Botafogo SP2-1Operario PR
Botafogo SP1-1Operario PR
Operario PR3-0Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP0-0Operario PR
Operario PR0-1Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP0-1Operario PR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Operario PR 1504 · Botafogo SP 1465

	Operario PR	Draw	Botafogo SP
Our model	50%	27%	22%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Operario PR	Botafogo SP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	3.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:09 +9’	1.83	3.30	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 2–2–2 Botafogo SP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/06/26 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	2-1 HT 0-1	Operario PR
19/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	1-1 HT 0-1	Operario PR
17/05/25 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	3-0 HT 0-0	Botafogo SP
13/10/24 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	0-0 HT 0-0	Operario PR
22/06/24 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	0-1 HT 0-0	Botafogo SP
29/01/21 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo SP	0-1 HT 0-1	Operario PR

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	31	16	8	7	35	19	56
2	Vila Nova	30	16	6	8	43	31	54
3	Gremio Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52	27	54
4	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33	27	53
5	Fortaleza	30	14	10	6	35	26	52
6	Atletico GO	30	13	10	7	37	27	49
7	CRB	31	14	6	11	46	44	48
8	Operario PR	31	13	9	9	43	41	48
9	Sport Recife	31	12	11	8	42	33	47
10	Sao Bernardo SP	31	12	9	10	43	32	45
11	Cuiaba	30	10	13	7	30	25	43
12	Goias	31	12	6	13	30	39	42
13	Athletic Club MG	31	10	12	9	37	35	42
14	Nautico	30	11	8	11	38	37	41
15	Ceara	30	9	9	12	33	39	36
16	Botafogo SP	30	9	8	13	34	36	35
17	Avai	30	8	6	16	30	41	30
18	Londrina	31	7	7	17	39	45	28
19	America MG	30	4	5	21	21	50	17
20	Ponte Preta	30	3	4	23	17	64	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Operario PR	Botafogo SP
Criciuma	2-0 W	1-1 D
Nautico	3-3 D	0-1 L
Cuiaba	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sao Bernardo SP	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Operario PR (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Operario PR

LLLDDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
01/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
23/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L

Botafogo SP

WWDLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
15/09	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
10/09	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-3	8	6	L
04/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
29/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
26/08	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
20/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
15/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
08/08	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Botafogo SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (50%). Probabilities: Operario PR 50%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 22%.

How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Botafogo SP?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Operario PR 1.61 · Botafogo SP 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Botafogo SP?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.